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La Liga · Matchday 14

Prediction: Valencia CF vs CA Osasuna

Sunday, 29 November 2026 00:00 UK time

Our AI makes Valencia CF the favourite for Valencia CF vs CA Osasuna, with a 42.4% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 00:00 UK time.

Find our detailed analysis of Valencia CF - CA Osasuna, kicking off on Sunday, 29 November 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.

Valencia CF (19 in the La Liga, 9 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. CA Osasuna (15, 11 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 14, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Valencia wins
42.4%
Draw
30.6%
Osasuna wins
27.0%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.57 - 1.21
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League standings

Valencia CF
19 (9 pts)
CA Osasuna
15 (11 pts)

Our analysis

The table gap between Valencia CF (19 place) and CA Osasuna (15 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Valencia CF. Expected goals are 1.57 for Valencia and 1.21 for Osasuna, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 42.4% / 30.6% / 27.0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Valencia CF win (42.4%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 53% Over 2.5 reading and the 56% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is Valencia CF vs CA Osasuna played? +

The Valencia CF - CA Osasuna match is scheduled for Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 00:00 UK time in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Valencia CF and CA Osasuna? +

Our AI Predictor picks Valencia CF as the favorite with a 42.4% win probability. Full odds: 42.4% for Valencia, 30.6% draw, 27.0% for Osasuna.

What is the most likely score for Valencia CF vs CA Osasuna? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.57 for Valencia CF and 1.21 for CA Osasuna.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 53% for this Valencia CF - CA Osasuna fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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