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Today's bets

Calculated every morning with the Talacote model and odds from around twenty bookmakers: single bets, goals, 2/3 systems, accumulators and all of the day's matches. No forced bets, and the real track record of every rule.

Mon, 19 Oct · 0 matches analyzed · United Kingdom Time

Mon, 19 Oct · 0 matches screened this morning · 0 bets published

Today's single bets Nothing was worth it today No forced bet
Over or under 2.5 goals Calculating
Today's 2/3 system Calculating
Today's accumulators Calculating
All of today's matches Calculating
Both teams to score Historical test not good enough Paused
How we calculate today's bets Demo
  1. Today's matches loaded
  2. Odds compared 20 bookmakers
  3. Scores simulated per match 121
  4. Bookmaker margin removed
  5. Rules tested on past data 235 days

Analyzing today's matches…

  • All of today's – priced matches

Example: “Team A win” at 6 bookmakers

  • Bookmaker 11.68
  • Bookmaker 21.70
  • Bookmaker 31.71
  • Bookmaker 41.72
  • Bookmaker 51.74
  • Best odds1.87

Probability of each score (Team A in rows)

1-0 most likely (11.8%) · A win 56% · Draw 23% · B win 20%

We remove the bookmakers' margin

Average odds1.71margin included
Fair price1.7856% chance

Odds above the fair price = a bet that pays more than its risk.

Every rule must first pass the historical test

Bets tested93single bets, test period
Odds vs closing+8.2%better than the final odds

On months of matches the model had never seen. A section that fails the test is paused.

Bet of the day foundfictional example

Team A – Team B · Team A win

Probability56%
Fair odds1.78
Odds recorded1.87
Edge+5.1%

Only bet at 1.81 or higher. And when nothing is worth it: “No bet today”.

Our real numbers, losses included

Elsewhere, you only see the winning tickets. Here, every rule publishes its actual result.

Today's single bets +15% per stake over 93 tested bets (± 24%); odds obtained +8.2% above closing
Over or under 2.5 goals 70% hit rate, against 68% predicted (142 days)
Today's 2/3 system −12% per stake over 124 days (± 16%): we show it anyway
The 5-fold accumulator −23% per stake over 110 days (± 46%): small stakes only

Results over a test period never used to tune the model. The past guarantees nothing: only stake what you can afford to lose.

Unlock today's bets

  • Every morning, up to 5 sections: singles, goals, 2/3, accumulators and all matches
  • The probability, the fair price and the minimum odds to bet at
  • The real track record of every rule, wins and losses alike
  • No forced bets: “No bet today” when nothing is worth it
See today's bets — Premium

18+ · Sports betting involves risks: debt, isolation, addiction. No result is guaranteed. · Responsible gambling

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