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Ligue 1

Ligue 1 predictions: AI analysis for upcoming fixtures

Find all our AI predictions and analysis for the Ligue 1 here, updated daily. Every upcoming match is analyzed with our Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles algorithms: 1X2 probabilities, likely scoreline, Over 2.5 goals, and BTTS. Pages cover both upcoming fixtures (14-day window) and recent fixtures with their post-match analysis.

📅 Upcoming matches (18)

September 11, 2026 · 18:45 J4
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Olympique de Marseille
1
47%
2.22
N
25%
4.26
2
28%
3.78
See prediction →
September 12, 2026 · 15:15 J4
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Monaco FC
1
33%
3.25
N
27%
4.00
2
40%
2.25
See prediction →
September 12, 2026 · 18:45 J4
FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC
1
50%
2.75
N
34%
3.40
2
16%
2.85
See prediction →
September 12, 2026 · 18:45 J4
AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice
1
29%
2.72
N
27%
3.45
2
43%
2.90
See prediction →
September 12, 2026 · 18:45 J4
Le Havre AC vs Angers SCO
1
36%
2.31
N
32%
3.42
2
33%
3.50
See prediction →
September 12, 2026 · 18:45 J4
Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais
1
40%
2.60
N
30%
3.47
2
29%
3.60
See prediction →
September 13, 2026 · 13:00 J4
Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC
1
64%
1.44
N
23%
5.10
2
13%
9.20
See prediction →
September 13, 2026 · 15:15 J4
Le Mans FC vs Racing Club de Lens
1
37%
5.75
N
26%
4.40
2
37%
1.66
See prediction →
September 13, 2026 · 18:45 J4
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
1
50%
2.09
N
25%
4.28
2
25%
4.22
See prediction →
September 18, 2026 · 18:45 J5
AS Monaco FC vs Racing Club de Lens
1
53%
2.38
N
27%
3.80
2
20%
3.02
See prediction →
September 19, 2026 · 15:15 J5
Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
1
54%
2.12
N
23%
3.74
2
23%
3.60
See prediction →
September 19, 2026 · 18:45 J5
Le Mans FC vs FC Lorient
1
36%
3.05
N
32%
3.50
2
33%
2.49
See prediction →
September 19, 2026 · 18:45 J5
Toulouse FC vs Le Havre AC
1
34%
1.88
N
34%
3.78
2
32%
4.57
See prediction →
September 19, 2026 · 18:45 J5
Angers SCO vs ES Troyes AC
1
50%
2.07
N
26%
3.52
2
24%
4.01
See prediction →
September 19, 2026 · 18:45 J5
Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais FC 1901
1
50%
2.11
N
26%
4.08
2
24%
4.32
See prediction →
September 20, 2026 · 13:00 J5
AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
1
23%
4.61
N
23%
4.68
2
55%
1.93
See prediction →
September 20, 2026 · 15:15 J5
OGC Nice vs Lille OSC
1
14%
3.69
N
33%
3.60
2
54%
2.14
See prediction →
September 20, 2026 · 18:45 J5
Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
1
50%
4.78
N
25%
4.47
2
25%
1.72
See prediction →

✅ Recent matches (18)

Our prediction methodology

Our Ligue 1 predictions rely on three complementary algorithms. Poisson models goal frequency per team from offensive and defensive averages. ELO adjusts each team's level match by match based on results. Dixon-Coles corrects Poisson biases on close scores (0-0, 1-1, 1-0). Combined, they output a 1X2 probability calibrated on 5 seasons of Ligue 1 history.

About the competition

The Ligue 1 brings together the elite of national football, with attack-minded teams and a dense calendar (up to 3 matches per week during peak periods). This regularity lets our statistical models produce reliable predictions: recent form, injuries, suspensions, and head-to-head meetings are integrated on each daily refresh. All Ligue 1 analyses stay free and require no signup.

Frequently asked questions

How are Ligue 1 predictions computed?

Three algorithms (Poisson, ELO, Dixon-Coles) process data from the last 5 seasons: offensive and defensive averages, standings, recent form, head-to-head. The output is a 1X2 probability, a likely scoreline, Over 2.5 goals, and BTTS.

Are Ligue 1 predictions free?

Yes. All Ligue 1 analyses (probabilities, likely scoreline, Over/BTTS) are free. No account, no paywall, no usage quota.

How often are pages refreshed?

Daily. The cron updates standings, recent form, injuries, and head-to-head overnight. Predictions are then recomputed for matches in the next 14 days.

Can I trust AI predictions?

Our models are calibrated on 5 real seasons of history, with public precision tracking. But no model is infallible: use our predictions as one signal among many, not as an oracle.

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