FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3
Prediction: Turkey vs United States
Friday June 26, 2026 02:00
Uncertain match expected on vendredi juin 26, 2026 between Turkey and United States. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (27.9% / 32.2% / 39.9%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Turkey (rank 1, 0 pts) is looking to string together strong results against United States (rank 2, 0 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Turkey (1th) and United States (2th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
| Bookmaker | Turkey | Draw | USA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.82 | 3.80 | 2.36 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.38 |
| Tipico | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78 | 3.62 | 2.46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Best odds | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.50 |
Market implied probability: 34% / 27% / 39%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 16/06 08:30
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Turkey (1 place, 0 pts) hosts United States (2 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Turkey and – for United States) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.11 for Turkey versus 1.39 for United States, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 27.9% / 32.2% / 39.9% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: United States has a 39.9% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Turkey vs United States played? +
The Turkey - United States match is scheduled for vendredi juin 26, 2026 at 02:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Turkey and United States? +
Our AI Predictor picks United States as the favorite with a 39.9% win probability. Full odds: 27.9% for Turkey, 32.2% draw, 39.9% for USA.
What is the most likely score for Turkey vs United States? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.11 for Turkey and 1.39 for United States.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Turkey - United States fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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