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Premier League · Matchday 13

Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC

Thursday, 3 December 2026 20:00 UK time

Our AI makes Tottenham Hotspur FC the favourite for Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC, with a 41.0% win probability. Kick-off: Thursday, 3 December 2026 at 20:00 UK time.

Balanced fixture for Tottenham Hotspur FC - Fulham FC on Thursday, 3 December 2026. No clear AI favorite: 41.0% home, 33.5% draw, 25.4% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

For Tottenham Hotspur FC (12 pts on the board, 9 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Fulham FC (9 pts, 15) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 13, Premier League

AI Predictor Forecast

Tottenham wins
41.0%
Draw
33.5%
Fulham wins
25.4%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.34 - 1.00
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League standings

Tottenham Hotspur FC
9 (12 pts)
Fulham FC
15 (9 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Tottenham Hotspur FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D L D W W W
3/6
W
2/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.67
Goals conceded/match 0.83
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-09-12 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-0 Everton FC
  • 2026-09-19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-3 Aston Villa FC
  • 2026-10-10 Manchester United FC 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC
  • 2026-10-19 Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-1 Coventry City FC
  • 2026-10-24 Chelsea FC 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC
  • 2026-10-31 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-0 Crystal Palace FC

Tottenham Hotspur FC form: 3 wins, 2 draw(s), and 1 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.67) and defensive average (0.83) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 33%.

Fulham FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D L W W D
2/6
W
3/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 0.83
Goals conceded/match 0.67
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 17%
  • 2026-09-12 Liverpool FC 0-0 Fulham FC
  • 2026-09-20 Fulham FC 1-1 Manchester United FC
  • 2026-10-10 Ipswich Town FC 2-1 Fulham FC
  • 2026-10-17 Fulham FC 1-0 Hull City AFC
  • 2026-10-24 Coventry City FC 0-1 Fulham FC
  • 2026-10-31 Aston Villa FC 1-1 Fulham FC

Fulham FC form: 2 wins, 3 draw(s), and 1 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (0.83) and defensive average (0.67) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 17%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-03-01 Fulham FC 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur FCPremier League
2025-11-29 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-2 Fulham FCPremier League
2025-03-16 Fulham FC 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur FCPremier League
2024-12-01 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-1 Fulham FCPremier League
2024-03-16 Fulham FC 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur FCPremier League

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (12 pts vs 9 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.34 vs 1.00). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 41.0% probability of a Tottenham Hotspur FC win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 41.0% / 33.5% / 25.4% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Tottenham Hotspur FC has a 41.0% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (42%) and BTTS (48%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC played? +

The Tottenham Hotspur FC - Fulham FC match is scheduled for Thursday, 3 December 2026 at 20:00 UK time in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Fulham FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Tottenham Hotspur FC as the favorite with a 41.0% win probability. Full odds: 41.0% for Tottenham, 33.5% draw, 25.4% for Fulham.

What is the most likely score for Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.34 for Tottenham Hotspur FC and 1.00 for Fulham FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 42% for this Tottenham Hotspur FC - Fulham FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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