Bundesliga · Matchday 10
Prediction: SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg
Saturday, 21 November 2026 14:30 UK time
Our AI makes SC Freiburg the favourite for SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg, with a 42.3% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UK time.
On Saturday, 21 November 2026, SV 07 Elversberg and SC Freiburg face off in the Bundesliga. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles models: our forecast gives SC Freiburg a slight edge.
SV 07 Elversberg (rank 7, 13 pts) is looking to string together strong results against SC Freiburg (rank 3, 19 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Bundesliga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 10, Bundesliga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. SV 07 Elversberg (form: –) meets SC Freiburg (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 72% and a BTTS of 72% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 31.7% / 26.0% / 42.3%.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: SC Freiburg has a 42.3% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (72%) and BTTS (72%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg played? +
The SV 07 Elversberg - SC Freiburg match is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga.
Who is the favorite between SV 07 Elversberg and SC Freiburg? +
Our AI Predictor picks SC Freiburg as the favorite with a 42.3% win probability. Full odds: 31.7% for Elversberg, 26.0% draw, 42.3% for Freiburg.
What is the most likely score for SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for SV 07 Elversberg and 2.01 for SC Freiburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 72% for this SV 07 Elversberg - SC Freiburg fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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