Ligue 1 · Matchday 10
Prediction: Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC
Sunday, 8 November 2026 14:00 UK time
Our AI makes Stade Rennais FC 1901 the favourite for Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC, with a 36.1% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time.
Balanced fixture for Stade Rennais FC 1901 - Lille OSC on Sunday, 8 November 2026. No clear AI favorite: 36.1% home, 28.3% draw, 35.6% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For Stade Rennais FC 1901 (6), hosting Lille OSC (4) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Stade Rennais FC 1901 a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Stade Rennais FC 1901: Esteban Lepaul (4)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Lille OSC: Olivier Giroud (2)
- 📊 Tight standings: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (6th) and Lille OSC (4th) within 1 pts
- ⚽ Stade Rennais FC 1901 scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of Stade Rennais FC 1901's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Stade Rennais FC 1901
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-30
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-11
- 2026-09-19
- 2026-10-11
⚽ Top scorer : Esteban Lepaul (4)
Across its last 6 outings, Stade Rennais FC 1901 has 4 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.67. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.
Lille OSC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-08
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-13
- 2026-10-17
⚽ Top scorer : Olivier Giroud (2)
Across its last 6 outings, Lille OSC has 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.50. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 1-2 Lille OSC | Ligue 1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Lille OSC 0-2 Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 0-2 Lille OSC | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Lille OSC 1-0 Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Lille OSC 2-2 Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Ligue 1 |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (13 pts vs 14 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.64 vs 1.63). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 36.1% probability of a Stade Rennais FC 1901 win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 36.1% / 28.3% / 35.6%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Stade Rennais FC 1901's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Stade Rennais FC 1901's recent matches.
- ▸ Stade Rennais FC 1901 relies on Esteban Lepaul (4) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
- ▸ Lille OSC relies on Olivier Giroud (2) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Stade Rennais FC 1901 win (36.1%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 63% Over 2.5 reading and the 66% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC played? +
The Stade Rennais FC 1901 - Lille OSC match is scheduled for Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and Lille OSC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Stade Rennais FC 1901 as the favorite with a 36.1% win probability. Full odds: 36.1% for Stade Rennais, 28.3% draw, 35.6% for Lille.
What is the most likely score for Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.64 for Stade Rennais FC 1901 and 1.63 for Lille OSC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 63% for this Stade Rennais FC 1901 - Lille OSC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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