Ligue 1 · Matchday 12
Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Friday, 27 November 2026 19:45 UK time
Our AI makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC, with a 39.3% win probability. Kick-off: Friday, 27 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
Balanced fixture for Stade Brestois 29 - Paris FC on Friday, 27 November 2026. No clear AI favorite: 39.3% home, 28.9% draw, 31.8% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Stade Brestois 29 (rank 10, 12 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Paris FC (rank 4, 17 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Ligue 1 fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (4)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Paris FC: Lassine Sinayoko (6)
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 83% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 12, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Stade Brestois 29
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-23
⚽ Top scorer : Kamory Doumbia (4)
Stade Brestois 29 arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.33. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 83%.
Paris FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-19
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-18
- 2026-10-24
⚽ Top scorer : Lassine Sinayoko (6)
Paris FC arrives with a 3W/1D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.50. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 67%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Paris FC 4-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (12 pts vs 17 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.66 vs 1.48). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 39.3% probability of a Stade Brestois 29 win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 39.3% / 28.9% / 31.8%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Paris FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Paris FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Stade Brestois 29 relies on Kamory Doumbia (4) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
- ▸ Paris FC relies on Lassine Sinayoko (6) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, Stade Brestois 29 stands as our algorithm's favourite at 39.3%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (61%) and BTTS (63%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC played? +
The Stade Brestois 29 - Paris FC match is scheduled for Friday, 27 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Stade Brestois 29 as the favorite with a 39.3% win probability. Full odds: 39.3% for Brest, 28.9% draw, 31.8% for Paris FC.
What is the most likely score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.48 for Paris FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this Stade Brestois 29 - Paris FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now