La Liga · Matchday 14
Prediction: Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Saturday, 28 November 2026 13:00 UK time
Our AI makes Real Betis Balompié the favourite for Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, with a 51.2% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 28 November 2026 at 13:00 UK time.
Full AI analysis of Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
For Real Betis Balompié (4), hosting Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (12) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Real Betis Balompié a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Real Betis Balompié: Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (3)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sergio Camello (7)
- 📊 League gap: Real Betis Balompié (4th) vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (12th)
- ⚽ Real Betis Balompié scores heavily: 2.17 goals/match average over last 6
- 🗓️ Matchday 14, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Real Betis Balompié
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-14
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-21
- 2026-10-25
- 2026-10-31
⚽ Top scorer : Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (3)
Across its last 6 outings, Real Betis Balompié has 4 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.67. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-15
- 2026-09-19
- 2026-10-19
- 2026-10-24
- 2026-10-31
⚽ Top scorer : Sergio Camello (7)
Across its last 6 outings, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has 2 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.33 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.67. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Real Betis Balompié 1-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2025-12-15 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0-0 Real Betis Balompié | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-15 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-2 Real Betis Balompié | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-22 | Real Betis Balompié 1-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-17 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-0 Real Betis Balompié | Primera Division |
Our analysis
The table gap between Real Betis Balompié (4 place) and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (12 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Real Betis Balompié. Expected goals are 2.09 for Real Betis and 1.36 for Rayo Vallecano, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 51.2% / 25.9% / 23.0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Real Betis Balompié's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Real Betis Balompié's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's recent matches.
- ▸ Real Betis Balompié relies on Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (3) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Rayo Vallecano de Madrid relies on Sergio Camello (7) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, Real Betis Balompié stands as our algorithm's favourite at 51.2%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (67%) and BTTS (66%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid played? +
The Real Betis Balompié - Rayo Vallecano de Madrid match is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026 at 13:00 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Real Betis Balompié and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? +
Our AI Predictor picks Real Betis Balompié as the favorite with a 51.2% win probability. Full odds: 51.2% for Real Betis, 25.9% draw, 23.0% for Rayo Vallecano.
What is the most likely score for Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.09 for Real Betis Balompié and 1.36 for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 67% for this Real Betis Balompié - Rayo Vallecano de Madrid fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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