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La Liga · Matchday 12

Prediction: RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD

Sunday, 8 November 2026 17:30 UK time

Our AI makes RC Celta de Vigo the favourite for RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD, with a 47.3% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time.

RC Celta de Vigo hosts Levante UD this Sunday at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga. According to our AI, RC Celta de Vigo approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

For RC Celta de Vigo (8), hosting Levante UD (11) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With RC Celta de Vigo a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Brugui (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: RC Celta de Vigo (8th) and Levante UD (11th) within 1 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 12, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Celta wins
47.3%
Draw
29.2%
Levante wins
23.6%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
57%
Expected goals (xG)
1.73 - 1.16
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League standings

RC Celta de Vigo
8 (11 pts)
Levante UD
11 (10 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

RC Celta de Vigo

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L D D D W D
1/6
W
4/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.17
Goals conceded/match 0.67
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 17%
  • 2026-08-30 RC Celta de Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
  • 2026-09-03 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-0 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-09-07 Getafe CF 1-1 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-09-13 RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 Málaga CF
  • 2026-09-19 RC Celta de Vigo 5-0 Real Racing Club de Santander
  • 2026-10-11 Elche CF 0-0 RC Celta de Vigo

Across its last 6 outings, RC Celta de Vigo has 1 wins, 4 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.67. Both teams have scored in 33% of recent games.

Levante UD

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D W D L L D
1/6
W
3/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.83
Goals conceded/match 2.00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-08-24 CA Osasuna 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-08-29 Levante UD 5-2 Real Betis Balompié
  • 2026-09-06 Málaga CF 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-09-13 Levante UD 2-4 FC Barcelona
  • 2026-09-20 Villarreal CF 3-1 Levante UD
  • 2026-10-12 Levante UD 3-3 Sevilla FC

⚽ Top scorer : Brugui (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Levante UD has 1 wins, 3 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.83 goal(s)/match, defensive at 2.00. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-05-12 RC Celta de Vigo 2-3 Levante UDPrimera Division
2025-11-02 Levante UD 1-2 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division
2022-02-21 RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 Levante UDPrimera Division
2021-09-21 Levante UD 0-2 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division
2021-04-30 RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 Levante UDPrimera Division

Our analysis

Statistically, RC Celta de Vigo (8 place, 11 pts) hosts Levante UD (11 place, 10 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for RC Celta de Vigo and – for Levante UD) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.73 for RC Celta de Vigo versus 1.16 for Levante UD, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 47.3% Celta win, 29.2% draw, 23.6% Levante win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Levante UD's recent matches.
  • ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Levante UD's recent matches.
  • ▸ Levante UD relies on Brugui (3) as the La Liga top scorer.

Our verdict

In short, RC Celta de Vigo stands as our algorithm's favourite at 47.3%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (57%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD played? +

The RC Celta de Vigo - Levante UD match is scheduled for Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between RC Celta de Vigo and Levante UD? +

Our AI Predictor picks RC Celta de Vigo as the favorite with a 47.3% win probability. Full odds: 47.3% for Celta, 29.2% draw, 23.6% for Levante.

What is the most likely score for RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for RC Celta de Vigo and 1.16 for Levante UD.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this RC Celta de Vigo - Levante UD fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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