La Liga · Matchday 13
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Saturday, 21 November 2026 15:15 UK time
Our AI makes Rayo Vallecano de Madrid the favourite for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF, with a 45.0% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:15 UK time.
Our AI Predictor examined the La Liga clash Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF. Verdict: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid carries a 45.0% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.
For Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (12 pts on the board, 12 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Valencia CF (9 pts, 19) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 13, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (form: –) meets Valencia CF (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 59% and a BTTS of 61% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 45.0% Rayo Vallecano win, 28.8% draw, 26.2% Valencia win.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (45.0% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 59%, BTTS at 61%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF played? +
The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Valencia CF match is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:15 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Valencia CF? +
Our AI Predictor picks Rayo Vallecano de Madrid as the favorite with a 45.0% win probability. Full odds: 45.0% for Rayo Vallecano, 28.8% draw, 26.2% for Valencia.
What is the most likely score for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.75 for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and 1.30 for Valencia CF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 59% for this Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Valencia CF fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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