Serie A · Matchday 11
Prediction: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna FC 1909
Saturday, 7 November 2026 17:00 UK time
Our AI makes Bologna FC 1909 the favourite for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna FC 1909, with a 36.5% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:00 UK time.
Uncertain match expected on Saturday, 7 November 2026 between Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (30.2% / 33.3% / 36.5%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Parma Calcio 1913 (19 in the Serie A, 4 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Bologna FC 1909 (15, 5 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Parma Calcio 1913
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-14
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-19
Recent record for Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-1D-4L over the last 6 matches. 0.67 goal(s) scored on average vs 2.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%.
Bologna FC 1909
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-31
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-19
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-17
Recent record for Bologna FC 1909: 1W-2D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.50 conceded. BTTS observed at 67%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Bologna FC 1909 0-1 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2025-11-02 | Parma Calcio 1913 1-3 Bologna FC 1909 | Serie A |
| 2025-02-22 | Parma Calcio 1913 2-0 Bologna FC 1909 | Serie A |
| 2024-10-06 | Bologna FC 1909 0-0 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
Our analysis
Statistically, Parma Calcio 1913 (19 place, 4 pts) hosts Bologna FC 1909 (15 place, 5 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Parma Calcio 1913 and – for Bologna FC 1909) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.15 for Parma Calcio 1913 versus 1.29 for Bologna FC 1909, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 30.2% / 33.3% / 36.5% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
In short, Bologna FC 1909 stands as our algorithm's favourite at 36.5%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (44%) and BTTS (51%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna FC 1909 played? +
The Parma Calcio 1913 - Bologna FC 1909 match is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:00 UK time in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909? +
Our AI Predictor picks Bologna FC 1909 as the favorite with a 36.5% win probability. Full odds: 30.2% for Parma, 33.3% draw, 36.5% for Bologna.
What is the most likely score for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna FC 1909? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1.29 for Bologna FC 1909.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 44% for this Parma Calcio 1913 - Bologna FC 1909 fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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