Ligue 1 · Matchday 11
Prediction: OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Saturday, 21 November 2026 16:15 UK time
Our AI makes Paris Saint-Germain FC the favourite for OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, with a 41.3% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UK time.
Balanced fixture for OGC Nice - Paris Saint-Germain FC on Saturday, 21 November 2026. No clear AI favorite: 30.3% home, 28.4% draw, 41.3% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For OGC Nice (8), hosting Paris Saint-Germain FC (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Paris Saint-Germain FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (14 pts vs 20 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.47 vs 1.74). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 30.3% probability of a OGC Nice win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 30.3% / 28.4% / 41.3%.
Our verdict
In short, Paris Saint-Germain FC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 41.3%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (62%) and BTTS (64%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC played? +
The OGC Nice - Paris Saint-Germain FC match is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UK time in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between OGC Nice and Paris Saint-Germain FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Paris Saint-Germain FC as the favorite with a 41.3% win probability. Full odds: 30.3% for Nice, 28.4% draw, 41.3% for PSG.
What is the most likely score for OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.47 for OGC Nice and 1.74 for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 62% for this OGC Nice - Paris Saint-Germain FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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