Premier League · Matchday 12
Prediction: Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC
Friday, 27 November 2026 20:00 UK time
Our AI makes Chelsea FC the favourite for Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC, with a 41.4% win probability. Kick-off: Friday, 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time.
Uncertain match expected on Friday, 27 November 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and Chelsea FC. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (29.1% / 29.6% / 41.4%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Nottingham Forest FC (rank 19, 6 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Chelsea FC (rank 4, 16 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Chelsea FC: João Pedro (5)
- 📊 League gap: Chelsea FC (4th) vs Nottingham Forest FC (19th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 12, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Nottingham Forest FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-19
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-18
- 2026-10-23
Nottingham Forest FC arrives with a 1W/2D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.17. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 50%.
Chelsea FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-18
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-24
⚽ Top scorer : João Pedro (5)
Chelsea FC arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.67. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
| 2025-10-18 | Nottingham Forest FC 0-3 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Chelsea FC 1-1 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Nottingham Forest FC 2-3 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Statistically, Nottingham Forest FC (19 place, 6 pts) hosts Chelsea FC (4 place, 16 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Nottingham Forest FC and – for Chelsea FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.34 for Nottingham Forest FC versus 1.64 for Chelsea FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 29.1% Nottingham win, 29.6% draw, 41.4% Chelsea win.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Chelsea FC (41.4% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 57%, BTTS at 60%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC played? +
The Nottingham Forest FC - Chelsea FC match is scheduled for Friday, 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Nottingham Forest FC and Chelsea FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Chelsea FC as the favorite with a 41.4% win probability. Full odds: 29.1% for Nottingham, 29.6% draw, 41.4% for Chelsea.
What is the most likely score for Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.34 for Nottingham Forest FC and 1.64 for Chelsea FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 57% for this Nottingham Forest FC - Chelsea FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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