FIFA World Cup
Prediction: Norway vs England
Saturday July 11, 2026 21:00
Uncertain match expected on samedi juillet 11, 2026 between Norway and England. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (34.7% / 25.6% / 39.7%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
For Norway (2), hosting England (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With England a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Norway: Erling Haaland (7)
- 🎯 Key scorer for England: Harry Kane (6)
- 📊 Tight standings: Norway (2th) and England (1th) within 1 pts
- ⚽ Norway scores heavily: 2.4 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Norway's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
Norway @ 4.20 — estimated +45.7% value according to our AI.
| Bookmaker | Norway | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20 | 3.45 | 2.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20 | 3.45 | 2.00 |
| Matchbook | 4.20 | 3.65 | 2.02 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10 | 3.35 | 1.96 |
| Betfair | 4.10 | 3.65 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 4.05 | 3.63 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 3.73 | 2.00 |
| Everygame | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Best odds | 4.20 | 3.73 | 2.03 |
Market implied probability: 24% / 27% / 49%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 06/07 08:30
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Norway
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-16
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-26
- 2026-06-30
- 2026-07-05
⚽ Top scorer : Erling Haaland (7)
Across its last 6 outings, Norway has 4 wins, 0 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.40 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.80. Both teams have scored in 100% of recent games.
England
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-01
- 2026-07-06
⚽ Top scorer : Harry Kane (6)
Across its last 6 outings, England has 4 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.20 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.00. Both teams have scored in 60% of recent games.
Our analysis
Statistically, Norway (2 place, 6 pts) hosts England (1 place, 7 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Norway and – for England) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.92 for Norway versus 2.06 for England, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-2.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 34.7% Norway win, 25.6% draw, 39.7% England win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Norway is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 6 pts).
- ▸ England sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
- ▸ Norway relies on Erling Haaland (7) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
- ▸ England relies on Harry Kane (6) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, England stands as our algorithm's favourite at 39.7%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-2, and the Over 2.5 (75%) and BTTS (74%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Norway vs England played? +
The Norway - England match is scheduled for samedi juillet 11, 2026 at 21:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Norway and England? +
Our AI Predictor picks England as the favorite with a 39.7% win probability. Full odds: 34.7% for Norway, 25.6% draw, 39.7% for England.
What is the most likely score for Norway vs England? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-2, with expected goals (xG) of 1.92 for Norway and 2.06 for England.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 75% for this Norway - England fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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