Premier League · Matchday 13
Prediction: Liverpool FC vs Sunderland AFC
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 19:30 UK time
Our AI makes Liverpool FC the favourite for Liverpool FC vs Sunderland AFC, with a 56.1% win probability. Kick-off: Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UK time.
Liverpool FC hosts Sunderland AFC this Wednesday at 19:30 UK time in the Premier League. According to our AI, Liverpool FC approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Liverpool FC (rank 5, 15 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Sunderland AFC (rank 20, 5 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Liverpool FC: Alexander Isak (6)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Sunderland AFC: Brian Brobbey (3)
- 📊 League gap: Liverpool FC (5th) vs Sunderland AFC (20th)
- ⚽ Liverpool FC scores heavily: 2.67 goals/match average over last 6
- 🗓️ Matchday 13, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Liverpool FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-10-14
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-20
- 2026-10-25
- 2026-11-01
- 2026-11-04
⚽ Top scorer : Alexander Isak (6)
Liverpool FC arrives with a 4W/0D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.83. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 67%.
Sunderland AFC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-18
- 2026-10-25
- 2026-10-31
⚽ Top scorer : Brian Brobbey (3)
Sunderland AFC arrives with a 0W/1D/5L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.33. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Sunderland AFC 0-1 Liverpool FC | Premier League |
| 2025-12-03 | Liverpool FC 1-1 Sunderland AFC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (15 pts vs 5 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.79 vs 0.84). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 56.1% probability of a Liverpool FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 56.1% / 28.2% / 15.7% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Liverpool FC is on a 4-match winning streak.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Liverpool FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Liverpool FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Liverpool FC relies on Alexander Isak (6) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Sunderland AFC relies on Brian Brobbey (3) as the Premier League top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Liverpool FC (56.1% win probability) with a 1-0 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 49%, BTTS at 48%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Liverpool FC vs Sunderland AFC played? +
The Liverpool FC - Sunderland AFC match is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Liverpool FC and Sunderland AFC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Liverpool FC as the favorite with a 56.1% win probability. Full odds: 56.1% for Liverpool, 28.2% draw, 15.7% for Sunderland.
What is the most likely score for Liverpool FC vs Sunderland AFC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.79 for Liverpool FC and 0.84 for Sunderland AFC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this Liverpool FC - Sunderland AFC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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