La Liga · Matchday 13
Prediction: Levante UD vs Elche CF
Monday, 23 November 2026 20:00 UK time
Our AI makes Levante UD the favourite for Levante UD vs Elche CF, with a 41.3% win probability. Kick-off: Monday, 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time.
Uncertain match expected on Monday, 23 November 2026 between Levante UD and Elche CF. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (41.3% / 28.0% / 30.7%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Levante UD (rank 18, 10 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Elche CF (rank 17, 10 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Brugui (5)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Elche CF: Fer Niño (6)
- 📊 Tight standings: Levante UD (18th) and Elche CF (17th) within 0 pts
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Levante UD's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of Levante UD's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Levante UD
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-12
- 2026-10-16
- 2026-10-21
- 2026-10-25
⚽ Top scorer : Brugui (5)
Levante UD arrives with a 1W/2D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.83 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.33. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 100%.
Elche CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-15
- 2026-09-18
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-24
⚽ Top scorer : Fer Niño (6)
Elche CF arrives with a 2W/3D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.83. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Levante UD 3-2 Elche CF | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-29 | Elche CF 2-0 Levante UD | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Statistically, Levante UD (18 place, 10 pts) hosts Elche CF (17 place, 10 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Levante UD and – for Elche CF) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.78 for Levante UD versus 1.51 for Elche CF, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 41.3% Levante win, 28.0% draw, 30.7% Elche win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Levante UD's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Levante UD's recent matches.
- ▸ Levante UD relies on Brugui (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Elche CF relies on Fer Niño (6) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Levante UD (41.3% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 64%, BTTS at 66%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Levante UD vs Elche CF played? +
The Levante UD - Elche CF match is scheduled for Monday, 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Levante UD and Elche CF? +
Our AI Predictor picks Levante UD as the favorite with a 41.3% win probability. Full odds: 41.3% for Levante, 28.0% draw, 30.7% for Elche.
What is the most likely score for Levante UD vs Elche CF? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.78 for Levante UD and 1.51 for Elche CF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 64% for this Levante UD - Elche CF fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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