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FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3

Recap: Jordan vs Argentina

Sunday June 28, 2026 02:00 Match finished

Final score

1 3

Final score Jordan 1-3 Argentina. The AI Predictor had projected 0-2, with Over 2.5 at 45% and BTTS at 22%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.

Possible upset brewing on dimanche juin 28, 2026: Argentina travels to Jordan as the AI's pick (78.6% vs 3.5%). Skill gap and recent form explain the imbalance — full analysis below.

Jordan (rank 4, 0 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Argentina (rank 1, 6 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Argentina: Lionel Messi (8)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Jordan (4th) and Argentina (1th) within 6 pts
  • ⚽ Argentina scores heavily: 2.83 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Jordan's recent matches
  • 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Jordan's recent matches

AI Predictor Forecast

Jordan wins
3.5%
Draw
17.9%
Argentina wins
78.6%
Most likely score
0-2
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
22%
Expected goals (xG)
0.28 - 2.22

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Argentina (78.6%, Odds 1.34)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 13.40 $ +3.40 $
50 $ 67.00 $ +17.00 $
100 $ 134.00 $ +34.00 $
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League standings

Jordan
4 (0 pts)
Argentina
1 (6 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Jordan

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L L L
0/3
W
0/3
D
3/3
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 2.67
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 100%
  • 2026-06-17 Austria 3-1 Jordan
  • 2026-06-23 Jordan 1-2 Algeria
  • 2026-06-28 Jordan 1-3 Argentina

Jordan arrives with a 0W/0D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.67. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.

Argentina

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W W W W W
6/6
W
0/6
D
0/6
L
Goals scored/match 2.83
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 83%
  • 2026-06-17 Argentina 3-0 Algeria
  • 2026-06-22 Argentina 2-0 Austria
  • 2026-06-28 Jordan 1-3 Argentina
  • 2026-07-03 Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde Islands
  • 2026-07-07 Argentina 3-2 Egypt
  • 2026-07-12 Argentina 3-1 Switzerland

⚽ Top scorer : Lionel Messi (8)

Argentina arrives with a 6W/0D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.83 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 67%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-06-28 Jordan 1-3 ArgentinaFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Statistically, Jordan (4 place, 0 pts) hosts Argentina (1 place, 6 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Jordan and – for Argentina) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 0.28 for Jordan versus 2.22 for Argentina, our Poisson model projects a final score around 0-2.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 3.5% / 17.9% / 78.6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-2.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Argentina sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 6 pts.
  • Argentina is on a 6-match winning streak.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Jordan's recent matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Argentina's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Jordan's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 67% of Argentina's recent matches.
  • Argentina relies on Lionel Messi (8) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Argentina has a 78.6% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 0-2. The Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (22%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Jordan vs Argentina played? +

The Jordan - Argentina match is scheduled for dimanche juin 28, 2026 at 02:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Jordan and Argentina? +

Our AI Predictor picks Argentina as the favorite with a 78.6% win probability. Full odds: 3.5% for Jordan, 17.9% draw, 78.6% for Argentina.

What is the most likely score for Jordan vs Argentina? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-2, with expected goals (xG) of 0.28 for Jordan and 2.22 for Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Jordan - Argentina fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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