Premier League · Matchday 12
Prediction: Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC
Saturday, 28 November 2026 17:30 UK time
Our AI makes Ipswich Town FC the favourite for Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, with a 40.8% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
Uncertain match expected on Saturday, 28 November 2026 between Ipswich Town FC and Aston Villa FC. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (40.8% / 28.5% / 30.8%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
For Ipswich Town FC (14), hosting Aston Villa FC (10) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Ipswich Town FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 12, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Ipswich Town FC (14 place, 11 pts) hosts Aston Villa FC (10 place, 12 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Ipswich Town FC and – for Aston Villa FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.73 for Ipswich Town FC versus 1.48 for Aston Villa FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 40.8% Ipswich Town win, 28.5% draw, 30.8% Aston Villa win.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Ipswich Town FC win (40.8%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 62% Over 2.5 reading and the 64% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC played? +
The Ipswich Town FC - Aston Villa FC match is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Ipswich Town FC and Aston Villa FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Ipswich Town FC as the favorite with a 40.8% win probability. Full odds: 40.8% for Ipswich Town, 28.5% draw, 30.8% for Aston Villa.
What is the most likely score for Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for Ipswich Town FC and 1.48 for Aston Villa FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 62% for this Ipswich Town FC - Aston Villa FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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