Premier League · Matchday 11
Prediction: Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Sunday, 22 November 2026 14:00 UK time
Our AI makes Brighton & Hove Albion FC the favourite for Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, with a 49.1% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time.
AI prognosis is unfavorable for Hull City AFC on Sunday, 22 November 2026: 22.4% chance of beating Brighton & Hove Albion FC (49.1%). Standings, recent form, and head-to-head all contribute to this statistical verdict.
Hull City AFC (rank 11, 11 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Brighton & Hove Albion FC (rank 3, 19 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (3th) vs Hull City AFC (11th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Hull City AFC (11 place, 11 pts) hosts Brighton & Hove Albion FC (3 place, 19 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Hull City AFC and – for Brighton & Hove Albion FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.15 for Hull City AFC versus 1.79 for Brighton & Hove Albion FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 22.4% Hull City win, 28.5% draw, 49.1% Brighton Hove win.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Brighton & Hove Albion FC has a 49.1% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (56%) and BTTS (58%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC played? +
The Hull City AFC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC match is scheduled for Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Hull City AFC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Brighton & Hove Albion FC as the favorite with a 49.1% win probability. Full odds: 22.4% for Hull City, 28.5% draw, 49.1% for Brighton Hove.
What is the most likely score for Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Hull City AFC and 1.79 for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Hull City AFC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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