La Liga · Matchday 13
Prediction: Getafe CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Sunday, 22 November 2026 20:00 UK time
Our AI makes Club Atlético de Madrid the favourite for Getafe CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid, with a 52.7% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time.
Tough mission for Getafe CF against Club Atlético de Madrid (17.2% vs 52.7% per our AI). Home advantage weighs little against the form and table deficit. The match stays open, but the stats lean clearly.
Getafe CF (13 in the La Liga, 12 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Club Atlético de Madrid (2, 28 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Club Atlético de Madrid: Álex Baena (5)
- 📊 League gap: Club Atlético de Madrid (2th) vs Getafe CF (13th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 13, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Getafe CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-17
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-19
- 2026-10-25
Recent record for Getafe CF: 1W-2D-3L over the last 6 matches. 0.50 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.67 conceded. BTTS observed at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
Club Atlético de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-13
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-20
- 2026-10-24
⚽ Top scorer : Álex Baena (5)
Recent record for Club Atlético de Madrid: 5W-1D-0L over the last 6 matches. 1.50 goal(s) scored on average vs 0.50 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Getafe CF | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-23 | Getafe CF 0-1 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-09 | Getafe CF 2-1 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-15 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Getafe CF | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (12 pts vs 28 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (0.84 vs 1.64). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 17.2% probability of a Getafe CF win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 17.2% Getafe win, 30.1% draw, 52.7% Atleti win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid is in the top 3 of La Liga (2, 28 pts).
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid is on a 4-match winning streak.
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid relies on Álex Baena (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Club Atlético de Madrid has a 52.7% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1. The Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (47%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Getafe CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid played? +
The Getafe CF - Club Atlético de Madrid match is scheduled for Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Getafe CF and Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our AI Predictor picks Club Atlético de Madrid as the favorite with a 52.7% win probability. Full odds: 17.2% for Getafe, 30.1% draw, 52.7% for Atleti.
What is the most likely score for Getafe CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.84 for Getafe CF and 1.64 for Club Atlético de Madrid.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Getafe CF - Club Atlético de Madrid fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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