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Statistical prediction — not a guaranteed-win system. Probabilities computed via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles on public data.  ·  See methodology  ·  Responsible Gambling

Premier League · Matchday 12

Prediction: Fulham FC vs AFC Bournemouth

Sunday, 29 November 2026 14:05 UK time

Our AI makes Fulham FC the favourite for Fulham FC vs AFC Bournemouth, with a 36.2% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UK time.

Balanced fixture for Fulham FC - AFC Bournemouth on Sunday, 29 November 2026. No clear AI favorite: 36.2% home, 31.4% draw, 32.4% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

For Fulham FC (9 pts on the board, 15 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. AFC Bournemouth (12 pts, 8) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for AFC Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (5)
  • 🗓️ Matchday 12, Premier League

AI Predictor Forecast

Fulham wins
36.2%
Draw
31.4%
Bournemouth wins
32.4%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.41 - 1.32
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League standings

Fulham FC
15 (9 pts)
AFC Bournemouth
8 (12 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Fulham FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D L W W D
2/6
W
3/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 0.83
Goals conceded/match 0.67
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 17%
  • 2026-09-12 Liverpool FC 0-0 Fulham FC
  • 2026-09-20 Fulham FC 1-1 Manchester United FC
  • 2026-10-10 Ipswich Town FC 2-1 Fulham FC
  • 2026-10-17 Fulham FC 1-0 Hull City AFC
  • 2026-10-24 Coventry City FC 0-1 Fulham FC
  • 2026-10-31 Aston Villa FC 1-1 Fulham FC

Fulham FC form: 2 wins, 3 draw(s), and 1 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (0.83) and defensive average (0.67) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 17%.

AFC Bournemouth

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D L L W W W
3/6
W
1/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.67
Goals conceded/match 1.33
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-09-12 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford FC
  • 2026-09-20 AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool FC
  • 2026-10-10 Chelsea FC 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 2026-10-18 AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland AFC
  • 2026-10-25 Manchester United FC 0-3 AFC Bournemouth
  • 2026-10-31 AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds United FC

⚽ Top scorer : Marcus Tavernier (5)

AFC Bournemouth form: 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.67) and defensive average (1.33) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 50%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-05-09 Fulham FC 0-1 AFC BournemouthPremier League
2025-10-03 AFC Bournemouth 3-1 Fulham FCPremier League
2025-04-14 AFC Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham FCPremier League
2024-12-29 Fulham FC 2-2 AFC BournemouthPremier League
2024-02-10 Fulham FC 3-1 AFC BournemouthPremier League

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (9 pts vs 12 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.41 vs 1.32). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 36.2% probability of a Fulham FC win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 36.2% Fulham win, 31.4% draw, 32.4% Bournemouth win.

Our verdict

In short, Fulham FC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 36.2%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (51%) and BTTS (56%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Fulham FC vs AFC Bournemouth played? +

The Fulham FC - AFC Bournemouth match is scheduled for Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UK time in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Fulham FC and AFC Bournemouth? +

Our AI Predictor picks Fulham FC as the favorite with a 36.2% win probability. Full odds: 36.2% for Fulham, 31.4% draw, 32.4% for Bournemouth.

What is the most likely score for Fulham FC vs AFC Bournemouth? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.41 for Fulham FC and 1.32 for AFC Bournemouth.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this Fulham FC - AFC Bournemouth fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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