Ligue 1 · Matchday 11
Prediction: FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC 1901
Sunday, 22 November 2026 16:15 UK time
Our AI makes FC Lorient the favourite for FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC 1901, with a 39.3% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 16:15 UK time.
Uncertain match expected on Sunday, 22 November 2026 between FC Lorient and Stade Rennais FC 1901. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (39.3% / 28.9% / 31.8%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
For FC Lorient (12), hosting Stade Rennais FC 1901 (5) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With FC Lorient a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, FC Lorient (12 place, 12 pts) hosts Stade Rennais FC 1901 (5 place, 16 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for FC Lorient and – for Stade Rennais FC 1901) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.66 for FC Lorient versus 1.48 for Stade Rennais FC 1901, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 39.3% / 28.9% / 31.8%.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: FC Lorient has a 39.3% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (61%) and BTTS (63%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 played? +
The FC Lorient - Stade Rennais FC 1901 match is scheduled for Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 16:15 UK time in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between FC Lorient and Stade Rennais FC 1901? +
Our AI Predictor picks FC Lorient as the favorite with a 39.3% win probability. Full odds: 39.3% for Lorient, 28.9% draw, 31.8% for Stade Rennais.
What is the most likely score for FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC 1901? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for FC Lorient and 1.48 for Stade Rennais FC 1901.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this FC Lorient - Stade Rennais FC 1901 fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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