Premier League · Matchday 12
Prediction: Everton FC vs Liverpool FC
Sunday, 29 November 2026 12:00 UK time
Our AI makes Everton FC the favourite for Everton FC vs Liverpool FC, with a 34.6% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UK time.
Balanced fixture for Everton FC - Liverpool FC on Sunday, 29 November 2026. No clear AI favorite: 34.6% home, 35.2% draw, 30.2% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Everton FC (rank 7, 13 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Liverpool FC (rank 5, 15 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Everton FC (7th) and Liverpool FC (5th) within 2 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 12, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (13 pts vs 15 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.15 vs 1.06). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 34.6% probability of a Everton FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 34.6% Everton win, 35.2% draw, 30.2% Liverpool win.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Everton FC win (34.6%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 38% Over 2.5 reading and the 46% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Everton FC vs Liverpool FC played? +
The Everton FC - Liverpool FC match is scheduled for Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Everton FC and Liverpool FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Everton FC as the favorite with a 34.6% win probability. Full odds: 34.6% for Everton, 35.2% draw, 30.2% for Liverpool.
What is the most likely score for Everton FC vs Liverpool FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Everton FC and 1.06 for Liverpool FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 38% for this Everton FC - Liverpool FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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