La Liga · Matchday 11
Prediction: Elche CF vs Valencia CF
Sunday, 1 November 2026 17:30 UK time
Our AI makes Elche CF the favourite for Elche CF vs Valencia CF, with a 44.6% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
Our AI Predictor examined the La Liga clash Elche CF vs Valencia CF. Verdict: Elche CF carries a 44.6% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.
Elche CF (rank 18, 7 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Valencia CF (rank 19, 6 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Elche CF: Fer Niño (5)
- 📊 Tight standings: Elche CF (18th) and Valencia CF (19th) within 1 pts
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 83% of Elche CF's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of Elche CF's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Elche CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-28
- 2026-09-07
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-15
- 2026-09-18
⚽ Top scorer : Fer Niño (5)
Elche CF arrives with a 1W/1D/4L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.67. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 83%.
Valencia CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-25
- 2026-08-30
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-11
- 2026-09-15
- 2026-09-20
Valencia CF arrives with a 1W/0D/5L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.17. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Elche CF 1-0 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-10 | Valencia CF 1-1 Elche CF | Primera Division |
| 2023-04-23 | Elche CF 0-2 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2022-10-15 | Valencia CF 2-2 Elche CF | Primera Division |
| 2022-03-19 | Elche CF 0-1 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
Our analysis
The table gap between Elche CF (18 place) and Valencia CF (19 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Elche CF. Expected goals are 1.66 for Elche and 1.21 for Valencia, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 44.6% / 29.7% / 25.7%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Elche CF's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of Elche CF's recent matches.
- ▸ Elche CF relies on Fer Niño (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, Elche CF stands as our algorithm's favourite at 44.6%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (58%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Elche CF vs Valencia CF played? +
The Elche CF - Valencia CF match is scheduled for Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Elche CF and Valencia CF? +
Our AI Predictor picks Elche CF as the favorite with a 44.6% win probability. Full odds: 44.6% for Elche, 29.7% draw, 25.7% for Valencia.
What is the most likely score for Elche CF vs Valencia CF? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for Elche CF and 1.21 for Valencia CF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Elche CF - Valencia CF fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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