La Liga · Matchday 14
Prediction: Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Sunday, 29 November 2026 00:00 UK time
Our AI makes Club Atlético de Madrid the favourite for Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid, with a 47.5% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 00:00 UK time.
Our AI Predictor places Elche CF in the underdog role against Club Atlético de Madrid (23.3% win probability). For bettors, this kind of long away line can be worth a look — assuming a confirmed value-bet calculation. Details below.
Elche CF (rank 17, 10 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Club Atlético de Madrid (rank 2, 28 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Elche CF: Fer Niño (6)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Club Atlético de Madrid: Álex Baena (5)
- 📊 League gap: Club Atlético de Madrid (2th) vs Elche CF (17th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 14, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Elche CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-15
- 2026-09-18
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-24
⚽ Top scorer : Fer Niño (6)
Elche CF arrives with a 2W/3D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.83. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
Club Atlético de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-10-10
- 2026-10-13
- 2026-10-17
- 2026-10-20
- 2026-10-24
- 2026-10-31
⚽ Top scorer : Álex Baena (5)
Club Atlético de Madrid arrives with a 5W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.33. Over 2.5 goals at 17%, BTTS at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Elche CF 3-2 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-23 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-1 Elche CF | Primera Division |
| 2023-05-14 | Elche CF 1-0 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2022-12-29 | Club Atlético de Madrid 2-0 Elche CF | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (10 pts vs 28 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.15 vs 1.73). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 23.3% probability of a Elche CF win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 23.3% Elche win, 29.2% draw, 47.5% Atleti win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid is in the top 3 of La Liga (2, 28 pts).
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid is on a 3-match winning streak.
- ▸ Elche CF relies on Fer Niño (6) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid relies on Álex Baena (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Club Atlético de Madrid win (47.5%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 55% Over 2.5 reading and the 57% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid played? +
The Elche CF - Club Atlético de Madrid match is scheduled for Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 00:00 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Elche CF and Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our AI Predictor picks Club Atlético de Madrid as the favorite with a 47.5% win probability. Full odds: 23.3% for Elche, 29.2% draw, 47.5% for Atleti.
What is the most likely score for Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Elche CF and 1.73 for Club Atlético de Madrid.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Elche CF - Club Atlético de Madrid fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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