FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3
Recap: Egypt vs Iran
Saturday June 27, 2026 03:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 1
Final score Egypt 1-1 Iran. The AI Predictor had projected 1-1, with Over 2.5 at 46% and BTTS at 51%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.
Uncertain match expected on samedi juin 27, 2026 between Egypt and Iran. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (33.3% / 32.5% / 34.3%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Egypt (1 in the FIFA World Cup, 4 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Iran (2, 2 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Egypt (1th) and Iran (2th) within 2 pts
- ⚽ Egypt scores heavily: 2.4 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Egypt's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Iran (34.3%, Odds 3.07)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
Try Premium for all predictions →League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Egypt
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-15
- 2026-06-22
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-03
- 2026-07-07
Recent record for Egypt: 2W-2D-1L over the last 6 matches. 2.40 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.80 conceded. BTTS observed at 100%, Over 2.5 at 60%.
Iran
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-16
- 2026-06-21
- 2026-06-27
Recent record for Iran: 0W-3D-0L over the last 6 matches. 1.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 67%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt 1-1 Iran | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Statistically, Egypt (1 place, 4 pts) hosts Iran (2 place, 2 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Egypt and – for Iran) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.24 for Egypt versus 1.26 for Iran, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 33.3% Egypt win, 32.5% draw, 34.3% Iran win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Egypt sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 4 pts.
- ▸ Iran is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 2 pts).
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Egypt's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Iran's recent matches.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Iran has a 34.3% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (51%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Egypt vs Iran played? +
The Egypt - Iran match is scheduled for samedi juin 27, 2026 at 03:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Egypt and Iran? +
Our AI Predictor picks Iran as the favorite with a 34.3% win probability. Full odds: 33.3% for Egypt, 32.5% draw, 34.3% for Iran.
What is the most likely score for Egypt vs Iran? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.24 for Egypt and 1.26 for Iran.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Egypt - Iran fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now