FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3
Prediction: Egypt vs Iran
Saturday June 27, 2026 03:00
Uncertain match expected on samedi juin 27, 2026 between Egypt and Iran. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (33.3% / 32.5% / 34.3%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Egypt (2 in the FIFA World Cup, 0 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Iran (3, 0 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Egypt (2th) and Iran (3th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
Iran @ 4.30 — estimated +47.3% value according to our AI.
| Bookmaker | Egypt | Draw | Iran |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15 | 3.22 | 3.93 |
| BetAnything | 2.15 | 3.22 | 3.93 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.26 | 4.08 |
| GTbets | 2.14 | 3.08 | 3.82 |
| Betfair | 2.14 | 3.25 | 4.30 |
| Matchbook | 2.14 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Coolbet | 2.12 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10 | 3.18 | 3.98 |
| Best odds | 2.15 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
Market implied probability: 46% / 30% / 24%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 21/06 08:30
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Egypt (2 place, 0 pts) hosts Iran (3 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Egypt and – for Iran) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.24 for Egypt versus 1.26 for Iran, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 33.3% Egypt win, 32.5% draw, 34.3% Iran win.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Iran has a 34.3% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (51%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Egypt vs Iran played? +
The Egypt - Iran match is scheduled for samedi juin 27, 2026 at 03:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Egypt and Iran? +
Our AI Predictor picks Iran as the favorite with a 34.3% win probability. Full odds: 33.3% for Egypt, 32.5% draw, 34.3% for Iran.
What is the most likely score for Egypt vs Iran? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.24 for Egypt and 1.26 for Iran.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Egypt - Iran fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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