La Liga · Matchday 12
Prediction: CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Saturday, 7 November 2026 17:30 UK time
Our AI makes Athletic Club the favourite for CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club, with a 37.3% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
Wide-open match this Saturday, 7 November 2026: CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club. Our AI Predictor returns a tight distribution (31.3% / 31.4% / 37.3%) — typical of the situations where value-bet analysis pays off. Breakdown below.
For CA Osasuna (11 pts on the board, 10 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Athletic Club (9 pts, 13) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: CA Osasuna (10th) and Athletic Club (13th) within 2 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 12, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
CA Osasuna
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-27
- 2026-08-31
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-16
- 2026-09-19
CA Osasuna form: 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 3 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.00) and defensive average (2.17) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 50%.
Athletic Club
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-27
- 2026-08-30
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-19
Athletic Club form: 2 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.17) and defensive average (1.00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Club 1-0 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-03 | CA Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-30 | Athletic Club 0-0 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-21 | CA Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Club | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. CA Osasuna (form: –) meets Athletic Club (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 51% and a BTTS of 56% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 31.3% / 31.4% / 37.3%.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Athletic Club has a 37.3% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (51%) and BTTS (56%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club played? +
The CA Osasuna - Athletic Club match is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between CA Osasuna and Athletic Club? +
Our AI Predictor picks Athletic Club as the favorite with a 37.3% win probability. Full odds: 31.3% for Osasuna, 31.4% draw, 37.3% for Athletic.
What is the most likely score for CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.29 for CA Osasuna and 1.43 for Athletic Club.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this CA Osasuna - Athletic Club fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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