Bundesliga · Matchday 10
Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07
Saturday, 21 November 2026 14:30 UK time
Our AI makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourite for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07, with a 48.9% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UK time.
Find our detailed analysis of Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SC Paderborn 07, kicking off on Saturday, 21 November 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
For Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6), hosting SC Paderborn 07 (12) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Bayer 04 Leverkusen a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 10, Bundesliga
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League standings
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (13 pts vs 10 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (2.00 vs 1.37). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 48.9% probability of a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 48.9% / 26.6% / 24.4%.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win (48.9%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 65% Over 2.5 reading and the 65% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 played? +
The Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SC Paderborn 07 match is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga.
Who is the favorite between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07? +
Our AI Predictor picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen as the favorite with a 48.9% win probability. Full odds: 48.9% for Leverkusen, 26.6% draw, 24.4% for SC Paderborn.
What is the most likely score for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.00 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.37 for SC Paderborn 07.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 65% for this Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SC Paderborn 07 fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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