Serie A · Matchday 10
Prediction: Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913
Monday, 2 November 2026 19:45 UK time
Our AI makes Atalanta BC the favourite for Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913, with a 54.3% win probability. Kick-off: Monday, 2 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
The clash between Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913 promises plenty of drama in the Serie A. Our AI Predictor analyzed this Monday, 2 November 2026 fixture and favors Atalanta BC with a 54.3% win probability.
For Atalanta BC (11), hosting Parma Calcio 1913 (19) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Atalanta BC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: Atalanta BC (11th) vs Parma Calcio 1913 (19th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 10, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Atalanta BC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-31
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-20
Across its last 6 outings, Atalanta BC has 2 wins, 0 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.40. Both teams have scored in 60% of recent games.
Parma Calcio 1913
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-14
- 2026-09-20
Across its last 6 outings, Parma Calcio 1913 has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 0.80 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.40. Both teams have scored in 60% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Atalanta BC 4-0 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2025-08-30 | Parma Calcio 1913 1-1 Atalanta BC | Serie A |
| 2025-05-25 | Atalanta BC 2-3 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2024-11-23 | Parma Calcio 1913 1-3 Atalanta BC | Serie A |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Atalanta BC (form: –) meets Parma Calcio 1913 (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 56% and a BTTS of 55% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 54.3% / 27.4% / 18.3%.
Our verdict
In short, Atalanta BC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 54.3%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (56%) and BTTS (55%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913 played? +
The Atalanta BC - Parma Calcio 1913 match is scheduled for Monday, 2 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913? +
Our AI Predictor picks Atalanta BC as the favorite with a 54.3% win probability. Full odds: 54.3% for Atalanta, 27.4% draw, 18.3% for Parma.
What is the most likely score for Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.89 for Atalanta BC and 1.02 for Parma Calcio 1913.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Atalanta BC - Parma Calcio 1913 fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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