Premier League · Matchday 11
Prediction: AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Saturday, 21 November 2026 15:00 UK time
Our AI makes AFC Bournemouth the favourite for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC, with a 49.3% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UK time.
Full AI analysis of AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
For AFC Bournemouth (12 pts on the board, 8 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Nottingham Forest FC (6 pts, 19) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: AFC Bournemouth (8th) vs Nottingham Forest FC (19th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 11, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, AFC Bournemouth (8 place, 12 pts) hosts Nottingham Forest FC (19 place, 6 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for AFC Bournemouth and – for Nottingham Forest FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.66 for AFC Bournemouth versus 1.00 for Nottingham Forest FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 49.3% Bournemouth win, 30.0% draw, 20.8% Nottingham win.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to AFC Bournemouth (49.3% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 50%, BTTS at 52%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC played? +
The AFC Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest FC match is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between AFC Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks AFC Bournemouth as the favorite with a 49.3% win probability. Full odds: 49.3% for Bournemouth, 30.0% draw, 20.8% for Nottingham.
What is the most likely score for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for AFC Bournemouth and 1.00 for Nottingham Forest FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 50% for this AFC Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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