Serie A · Matchday 11
Prediction: AC Monza vs Atalanta BC
Sunday, 8 November 2026 14:00 UK time
Our AI makes AC Monza the favourite for AC Monza vs Atalanta BC, with a 42.1% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time.
Find our detailed analysis of AC Monza - Atalanta BC, kicking off on Sunday, 8 November 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
AC Monza (rank 14, 7 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Atalanta BC (rank 11, 9 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Serie A fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for AC Monza: Gustavo Varela (6)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Atalanta BC: Nikola Krstović (4)
- 📊 Tight standings: AC Monza (14th) and Atalanta BC (11th) within 2 pts
- ⚽ AC Monza scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 83% of AC Monza's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of AC Monza's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
AC Monza
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-18
- 2026-10-11
- 2026-10-19
⚽ Top scorer : Gustavo Varela (6)
AC Monza arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.83. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 83%.
Atalanta BC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-31
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-20
- 2026-10-12
- 2026-10-18
⚽ Top scorer : Nikola Krstović (4)
Atalanta BC arrives with a 2W/0D/4L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.67. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 67%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | AC Monza 0-4 Atalanta BC | Serie A |
| 2024-10-30 | Atalanta BC 2-0 AC Monza | Serie A |
| 2024-04-21 | AC Monza 1-2 Atalanta BC | Serie A |
| 2023-09-02 | Atalanta BC 3-0 AC Monza | Serie A |
| 2023-06-04 | Atalanta BC 5-2 AC Monza | Serie A |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. AC Monza (form: –) meets Atalanta BC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 71% and a BTTS of 71% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 42.1% / 26.3% / 31.6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of AC Monza's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Atalanta BC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of AC Monza's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Atalanta BC's recent matches.
- ▸ AC Monza relies on Gustavo Varela (6) as the Serie A top scorer.
- ▸ Atalanta BC relies on Nikola Krstović (4) as the Serie A top scorer.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: AC Monza has a 42.1% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (71%) and BTTS (71%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is AC Monza vs Atalanta BC played? +
The AC Monza - Atalanta BC match is scheduled for Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UK time in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between AC Monza and Atalanta BC? +
Our AI Predictor picks AC Monza as the favorite with a 42.1% win probability. Full odds: 42.1% for Monza, 26.3% draw, 31.6% for Atalanta.
What is the most likely score for AC Monza vs Atalanta BC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.97 for AC Monza and 1.70 for Atalanta BC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 71% for this AC Monza - Atalanta BC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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