Serie A · Matchday 10
Prediction: Udinese Calcio vs AS Roma
Saturday, 31 October 2026 17:00 UK time
Our AI makes AS Roma the favourite for Udinese Calcio vs AS Roma, with a 56.7% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:00 UK time.
Udinese Calcio hosts AS Roma on Saturday, 31 October 2026 as the underdog. Our AI Predictor gives the visitors a 56.7% win probability against just 18.2% for the home side. Skill gap, standings, and recent form converge — full analysis below.
For Udinese Calcio (15), hosting AS Roma (3) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With AS Roma a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: AS Roma (3th) vs Udinese Calcio (15th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 10, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Udinese Calcio (15 place, 4 pts) hosts AS Roma (3 place, 14 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Udinese Calcio and – for AS Roma) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.15 for Udinese Calcio versus 2.14 for AS Roma, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 18.2% / 25.1% / 56.7%.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a AS Roma win (56.7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 64% Over 2.5 reading and the 61% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Udinese Calcio vs AS Roma played? +
The Udinese Calcio - AS Roma match is scheduled for Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:00 UK time in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Udinese Calcio and AS Roma? +
Our AI Predictor picks AS Roma as the favorite with a 56.7% win probability. Full odds: 18.2% for Udinese, 25.1% draw, 56.7% for Roma.
What is the most likely score for Udinese Calcio vs AS Roma? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Udinese Calcio and 2.14 for AS Roma.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 64% for this Udinese Calcio - AS Roma fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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