FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2
Recap: Tunisia vs Japan
Sunday June 21, 2026 04:00 Match finished
Final score
0 – 4
Match verdict: Tunisia - Japan. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 0-1 scoreline — post-match analysis below.
Tunisia hosts Japan on dimanche juin 21, 2026 as the underdog. Our AI Predictor gives the visitors a 47.9% win probability against just 21.3% for the home side. Skill gap, standings, and recent form converge — full analysis below.
For Tunisia (0), hosting Japan (0) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Japan a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- ⚽ Japan scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Tunisia's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Tunisia's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Japan (47.9%, Odds 4.60)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 46.00 $ | +36.00 $ |
| 50 $ | 230.00 $ | +180.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 460.00 $ | +360.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Tunisia
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-15
Across its last 6 outings, Tunisia has 0 wins, 0 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 5.00. Both teams have scored in 100% of recent games.
Japan
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
Across its last 6 outings, Japan has 0 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 2.00. Both teams have scored in 100% of recent games.
Our analysis
The table gap between Tunisia (0 place) and Japan (0 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Japan. Expected goals are 0.94 for Tunisia and 1.56 for Japan, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 21.3% Tunisia win, 30.8% draw, 47.9% Japan win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Japan is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 1 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Tunisia's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Japan's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Tunisia's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Japan's recent matches.
Our verdict
In short, Japan stands as our algorithm's favourite at 47.9%. The modelled scoreline sits around 0-1, and the Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (48%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Tunisia vs Japan played? +
The Tunisia - Japan match is scheduled for dimanche juin 21, 2026 at 04:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Tunisia and Japan? +
Our AI Predictor picks Japan as the favorite with a 47.9% win probability. Full odds: 21.3% for Tunisia, 30.8% draw, 47.9% for Japan.
What is the most likely score for Tunisia vs Japan? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.94 for Tunisia and 1.56 for Japan.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Tunisia - Japan fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now