Ligue 1 · Matchday 8
Prediction: Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC
Saturday, 24 October 2026 16:15 UK time
Our AI makes Toulouse FC the favourite for Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC, with a 53.0% win probability. Kick-off: Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:15 UK time.
Find our detailed analysis of Toulouse FC - ES Troyes AC, kicking off on Saturday, 24 October 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
Toulouse FC (rank 13, 5 pts) is looking to string together strong results against ES Troyes AC (rank 16, 4 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Ligue 1 fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Toulouse FC (13th) and ES Troyes AC (16th) within 1 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 8, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (5 pts vs 4 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (2.07 vs 1.24). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 53.0% probability of a Toulouse FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 53.0% / 25.9% / 21.1% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Toulouse FC has a 53.0% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1. The Over 2.5 (64%) and BTTS (62%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC played? +
The Toulouse FC - ES Troyes AC match is scheduled for Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:15 UK time in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Toulouse FC as the favorite with a 53.0% win probability. Full odds: 53.0% for Toulouse, 25.9% draw, 21.1% for Troyes.
What is the most likely score for Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.07 for Toulouse FC and 1.24 for ES Troyes AC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 64% for this Toulouse FC - ES Troyes AC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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