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FIFA World Cup

Prediction: Switzerland vs Colombia

Tuesday July 7, 2026 20:00

Find our detailed analysis of Switzerland - Colombia, kicking off on mardi juillet 7, 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.

For Switzerland (1), hosting Colombia (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Switzerland a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Switzerland: Johan Manzambi (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Switzerland (1th) and Colombia (1th) within 0 pts
  • ⚽ Switzerland scores heavily: 2.25 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 75% of Switzerland's recent matches

AI Predictor Forecast

Switzerland wins
43.7%
Draw
30.8%
Colombia wins
25.5%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
52%
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 - 1.11

Bookmaker odds

Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.

Value bet detected
Switzerland @ 3.80 — estimated +66.1% value according to our AI.
BookmakerSwitzerlandDrawColombia
Matchbook 3.80 3.20 2.32
Betfair 3.80 3.20 2.32
Unibet (SE) 3.75 3.15 2.25
Unibet (NL) 3.75 3.15 2.25
1xBet 3.71 3.17 2.32
Pinnacle 3.66 3.10 2.29
LeoVegas (SE) 3.65 3.10 2.20
BetOnline.ag 3.64 3.13 2.27
Best odds3.803.302.32

Market implied probability: 27% / 31% / 43%.

Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 05/07 08:30

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League standings

Switzerland
1 (7 pts)
Colombia
1 (7 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Switzerland

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D W W W
3/4
W
1/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 2.25
Goals conceded/match 0.75
Both teams to score 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-13 Qatar 1-1 Switzerland
  • 2026-06-18 Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina
  • 2026-06-24 Switzerland 2-1 Canada
  • 2026-07-03 Switzerland 2-0 Algeria

⚽ Top scorer : Johan Manzambi (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Switzerland has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.25 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.75. Both teams have scored in 75% of recent games.

Colombia

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W D W
3/4
W
1/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 1.25
Goals conceded/match 0.25
Both teams to score 25%
Over 2.5 goals 25%
  • 2026-06-18 Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia
  • 2026-06-24 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-27 Colombia 0-0 Portugal
  • 2026-07-04 Colombia 1-0 Ghana

Across its last 6 outings, Colombia has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.25 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.25. Both teams have scored in 25% of recent games.

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Switzerland (form: –) meets Colombia (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 49% and

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a BTTS of 52% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 43.7% Switzerland win, 30.8% draw, 25.5% Colombia win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Switzerland sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Colombia sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Switzerland's recent matches.
  • Switzerland relies on Johan Manzambi (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Switzerland win (43.7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 49% Over 2.5 reading and the 52% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is Switzerland vs Colombia played? +

The Switzerland - Colombia match is scheduled for mardi juillet 7, 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Switzerland and Colombia? +

Our AI Predictor picks Switzerland as the favorite with a 43.7% win probability. Full odds: 43.7% for Switzerland, 30.8% draw, 25.5% for Colombia.

What is the most likely score for Switzerland vs Colombia? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.53 for Switzerland and 1.11 for Colombia.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this Switzerland - Colombia fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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