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FIFA World Cup

Recap: Switzerland vs Colombia

Tuesday July 7, 2026 20:00 Match finished

Final score

4 3

Match over: Switzerland - Colombia. Our initial AI prediction had Switzerland favored at 43.7%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.

Find our detailed analysis of Switzerland - Colombia, kicking off on mardi juillet 7, 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.

For Switzerland (1), hosting Colombia (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Switzerland a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Switzerland: Johan Manzambi (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Switzerland (1th) and Colombia (1th) within 0 pts
  • ⚽ Switzerland scores heavily: 2.25 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 75% of Switzerland's recent matches

AI Predictor Forecast

Switzerland wins
43.7%
Draw
30.8%
Colombia wins
25.5%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
52%
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 - 1.11

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Switzerland (43.7%, Odds 2.41)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 24.10 $ +14.10 $
50 $ 120.50 $ +70.50 $
100 $ 241.00 $ +141.00 $
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League standings

Switzerland
1 (7 pts)
Colombia
1 (7 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Switzerland

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D W W W
3/4
W
1/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 2.25
Goals conceded/match 0.75
Both teams to score 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-13 Qatar 1-1 Switzerland
  • 2026-06-18 Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina
  • 2026-06-24 Switzerland 2-1 Canada
  • 2026-07-03 Switzerland 2-0 Algeria

⚽ Top scorer : Johan Manzambi (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Switzerland has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.25 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.75. Both teams have scored in 75% of recent games.

Colombia

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W D W
3/4
W
1/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 1.25
Goals conceded/match 0.25
Both teams to score 25%
Over 2.5 goals 25%
  • 2026-06-18 Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia
  • 2026-06-24 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-27 Colombia 0-0 Portugal
  • 2026-07-04 Colombia 1-0 Ghana

Across its last 6 outings, Colombia has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.25 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.25. Both teams have scored in 25% of recent games.

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Switzerland (form: –) meets Colombia (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 49% and

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a BTTS of 52% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 43.7% Switzerland win, 30.8% draw, 25.5% Colombia win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Switzerland sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Colombia sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Switzerland's recent matches.
  • Switzerland relies on Johan Manzambi (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Switzerland win (43.7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 49% Over 2.5 reading and the 52% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is Switzerland vs Colombia played? +

The Switzerland - Colombia match is scheduled for mardi juillet 7, 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Switzerland and Colombia? +

Our AI Predictor picks Switzerland as the favorite with a 43.7% win probability. Full odds: 43.7% for Switzerland, 30.8% draw, 25.5% for Colombia.

What is the most likely score for Switzerland vs Colombia? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.53 for Switzerland and 1.11 for Colombia.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this Switzerland - Colombia fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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