FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2
Recap: Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina
Thursday June 18, 2026 19:00 Match finished
Final score
4 – 1
Match over: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina. Our initial AI prediction had Switzerland favored at 49.6%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.
Switzerland hosts Bosnia-Herzegovina this jeudi at 19:00 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, Switzerland approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Switzerland (1 in the FIFA World Cup, 1 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Bosnia-Herzegovina (4, 1 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Switzerland: Johan Manzambi (3)
- 📊 Tight standings: Switzerland (1th) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (4th) within 0 pts
- ⚽ Switzerland scores heavily: 2.33 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Switzerland's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Switzerland (49.6%, Odds 2.12)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 21.20 $ | +11.20 $ |
| 50 $ | 106.00 $ | +56.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 212.00 $ | +112.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Switzerland
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-13
- 2026-06-18
- 2026-06-24
⚽ Top scorer : Johan Manzambi (3)
Recent record for Switzerland: 2W-1D-0L over the last 6 matches. 2.33 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 100%, Over 2.5 at 67%.
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-12
- 2026-06-18
- 2026-06-24
- 2026-07-02
Recent record for Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1W-1D-2L over the last 6 matches. 1.25 goal(s) scored on average vs 2.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 75%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Statistically, Switzerland (1 place, 1 pts) hosts Bosnia-Herzegovina (4 place, 1 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Switzerland and – for Bosnia-Herzegovina) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.59 for Switzerland versus 0.91 for Bosnia-Herzegovina, our Poisson model projects a f
inal score around 1-0.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 49.6% / 30.4% / 20.0%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Switzerland sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 1 pts.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Switzerland's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Switzerland's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 75% of Bosnia-Herzegovina's recent matches.
- ▸ Switzerland relies on Johan Manzambi (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Switzerland win (49.6%) with a typical scoreline of 1-0. Worth noting the 45% Over 2.5 reading and the 47% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina played? +
The Switzerland - Bosnia-Herzegovina match is scheduled for jeudi juin 18, 2026 at 19:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina? +
Our AI Predictor picks Switzerland as the favorite with a 49.6% win probability. Full odds: 49.6% for Switzerland, 30.4% draw, 20.0% for Bosnia-H..
What is the most likely score for Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.59 for Switzerland and 0.91 for Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Switzerland - Bosnia-Herzegovina fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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