Bundesliga · Matchday 4
Prediction: SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Saturday September 19, 2026 13:30
Uncertain match expected on Saturday September 19, 2026 between SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
For SV Werder Bremen (0 pts on the board, 1 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. FC Augsburg (0 pts, 1) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: SV Werder Bremen (1th) and FC Augsburg (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 4, Bundesliga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, SV Werder Bremen (1 place, 0 pts) hosts FC Augsburg (1 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for SV Werder Bremen and – for FC Augsburg) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.40 for SV Werder Bremen versus 1.20 for FC Augsburg, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 40.0% Bremen win, 30.0% draw, 30.0% Augsburg win.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: SV Werder Bremen has a 40.0% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg played? +
The SV Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg match is scheduled for Saturday September 19, 2026 at 13:30 in the Bundesliga.
Who is the favorite between SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg? +
Our AI Predictor picks SV Werder Bremen as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Bremen, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Augsburg.
What is the most likely score for SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for SV Werder Bremen and 1.20 for FC Augsburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this SV Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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