Premier League · Matchday 2
Recap: Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC
Sunday August 30, 2026 13:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 0
Match over: Sunderland AFC - Fulham FC. Our initial AI prediction had Sunderland AFC favored at 38.9%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming Premier League matches.
Uncertain match expected on dimanche août 30, 2026 between Sunderland AFC and Fulham FC. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (38.9% / 31.6% / 29.4%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Sunderland AFC (7 in the Premier League, 54 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Fulham FC (11, 52 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 2, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Fulham (35.4%, Odds 2.98)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Sunderland AFC 1-3 Fulham FC | Premier League |
| 2025-11-22 | Fulham FC 1-0 Sunderland AFC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Statistically, Sunderland AFC (7 place, 54 pts) hosts Fulham FC (11 place, 52 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Sunderland AFC and – for Fulham FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.41 for Sunderland AFC versus 1.19 for Fulham FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 38.9% Sunderland win, 31.6% draw, 29.4% Fulham win.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Sunderland AFC win (38.9%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 48% Over 2.5 reading and the 52% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC played? +
The Sunderland AFC - Fulham FC match is scheduled for dimanche août 30, 2026 at 13:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Sunderland AFC and Fulham FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Sunderland AFC as the favorite with a 38.9% win probability. Full odds: 38.9% for Sunderland, 31.6% draw, 29.4% for Fulham.
What is the most likely score for Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.41 for Sunderland AFC and 1.19 for Fulham FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 48% for this Sunderland AFC - Fulham FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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