Ligue 1 · Matchday 8
Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice
Friday October 23, 2026 18:45
Stade Brestois 29 hosts OGC Nice this vendredi at 18:45 in the Ligue 1. According to our AI, Stade Brestois 29 approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
For Stade Brestois 29 (5 pts on the board, 11 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. OGC Nice (5 pts, 14) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (4)
- 📊 Tight standings: Stade Brestois 29 (11th) and OGC Nice (14th) within 0 pts
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 80% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 80% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 8, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Stade Brestois 29
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-20
⚽ Top scorer : Kamory Doumbia (4)
Stade Brestois 29 form: 1 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.40) and defensive average (1.60) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 80%.
OGC Nice
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-30
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-20
OGC Nice form: 1 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (0.60) and defensive average (1.20) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 40%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | OGC Nice 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Stade Brestois 29 4-1 OGC Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-05-17 | OGC Nice 6-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Stade Brestois 29 0-1 OGC Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Stade Brestois 29 0-0 OGC Nice | Ligue 1 |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (5 pts vs 5 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.50 vs 1.05). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 44.1% probability of a Stade Brestois 29 win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 44.1% / 31.3% / 24.6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 80% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 80% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Stade Brestois 29 relies on Kamory Doumbia (4) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Stade Brestois 29 (44.1% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 47%, BTTS at 50%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice played? +
The Stade Brestois 29 - OGC Nice match is scheduled for vendredi octobre 23, 2026 at 18:45 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Stade Brestois 29 and OGC Nice? +
Our AI Predictor picks Stade Brestois 29 as the favorite with a 44.1% win probability. Full odds: 44.1% for Brest, 31.3% draw, 24.6% for Nice.
What is the most likely score for Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.50 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.05 for OGC Nice.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 47% for this Stade Brestois 29 - OGC Nice fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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