La Liga · Matchday 5
Prediction: Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF
Sunday September 13, 2026 00:00
Balanced fixture for Sevilla FC - Valencia CF on dimanche septembre 13, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 40.0% home, 30.0% draw, 30.0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Sevilla FC (rank 2, 3 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Valencia CF (rank 3, 0 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Sevilla FC: Jon Guridi (1)
- 📊 Tight standings: Sevilla FC (2th) and Valencia CF (3th) within 3 pts
- ⚽ Sevilla FC scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Sevilla FC's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Sevilla FC's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Sevilla FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-15
⚽ Top scorer : Jon Guridi (1)
Sevilla FC arrives with a 1W/0D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla FC 0-2 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2025-12-07 | Valencia CF 1-1 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-11 | Valencia CF 1-0 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-11 | Sevilla FC 1-1 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-17 | Valencia CF 0-0 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (3 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.40 vs 1.20). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 40.0% probability of a Sevilla FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Sevilla FC is in the top 3 of La Liga (3, 3 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Sevilla FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Sevilla FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Sevilla FC relies on Jon Guridi (1) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Sevilla FC win (40.0%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 55% Over 2.5 reading and the 50% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF played? +
The Sevilla FC - Valencia CF match is scheduled for dimanche septembre 13, 2026 at 00:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Sevilla FC and Valencia CF? +
Our AI Predictor picks Sevilla FC as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Sevilla FC, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Valencia.
What is the most likely score for Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for Sevilla FC and 1.20 for Valencia CF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Sevilla FC - Valencia CF fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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