La Liga · Matchday 10
Prediction: Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna
Monday, 26 October 2026 20:00 UK time
Our AI makes Sevilla FC the favourite for Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna, with a 57.7% win probability. Kick-off: Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time.
Full AI analysis of Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna, scheduled for Monday, 26 October 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
Sevilla FC (rank 5, 14 pts) is looking to string together strong results against CA Osasuna (rank 16, 8 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Sevilla FC: Miguel Ángel Sierra (2)
- 🎯 Key scorer for CA Osasuna: Ante Budimir (5)
- 📊 League gap: Sevilla FC (5th) vs CA Osasuna (16th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 10, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Sevilla FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-11
- 2026-09-16
- 2026-09-19
⚽ Top scorer : Miguel Ángel Sierra (2)
Sevilla FC arrives with a 3W/1D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.33. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 67%.
CA Osasuna
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-27
- 2026-08-31
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-12
- 2026-09-16
- 2026-09-19
⚽ Top scorer : Ante Budimir (5)
CA Osasuna arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.17. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | CA Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-08 | Sevilla FC 1-0 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-24 | CA Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-02 | Sevilla FC 1-1 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2024-01-28 | Sevilla FC 1-1 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Statistically, Sevilla FC (5 place, 14 pts) hosts CA Osasuna (16 place, 8 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Sevilla FC and – for CA Osasuna) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 2.23 for Sevilla FC versus 1.19 for CA Osasuna, our Poisson model projects a final score around 2-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 57.7% / 24.4% / 18.0%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Sevilla FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Sevilla FC relies on Miguel Ángel Sierra (2) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ CA Osasuna relies on Ante Budimir (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Sevilla FC (57.7% win probability) with a 2-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 66%, BTTS at 63%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna played? +
The Sevilla FC - CA Osasuna match is scheduled for Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Sevilla FC and CA Osasuna? +
Our AI Predictor picks Sevilla FC as the favorite with a 57.7% win probability. Full odds: 57.7% for Sevilla FC, 24.4% draw, 18.0% for Osasuna.
What is the most likely score for Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.23 for Sevilla FC and 1.19 for CA Osasuna.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 66% for this Sevilla FC - CA Osasuna fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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