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FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2

Recap: Scotland vs Morocco

Friday June 19, 2026 22:00 Match finished

Final score

0 1

Match verdict: Scotland 0-1 Morocco. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 0-1 scoreline — post-match analysis below.

Tough mission for Scotland against Morocco (22.1% vs 46.8% per our AI). Home advantage weighs little against the form and table deficit. The match stays open, but the stats lean clearly.

For Scotland (1), hosting Morocco (2) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Morocco a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Morocco: Ismael Saibari (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Scotland (1th) and Morocco (2th) within 2 pts
  • ⚽ Morocco scores heavily: 2.5 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup

AI Predictor Forecast

Scotland wins
22.1%
Draw
31.0%
Morocco wins
46.8%
Most likely score
0-1
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
49%
Expected goals (xG)
0.97 - 1.53

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Morocco (46.8%, Odds 2.25)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 22.50 $ +12.50 $
50 $ 112.50 $ +62.50 $
100 $ 225.00 $ +125.00 $
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League standings

Scotland
1 (3 pts)
Morocco
2 (1 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Scotland

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L L
1/3
W
0/3
D
2/3
L
Goals scored/match 0.33
Goals conceded/match 1.33
Both teams to score 0%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-06-14 Haiti 0-1 Scotland
  • 2026-06-19 Scotland 0-1 Morocco
  • 2026-06-24 Scotland 0-3 Brazil

Across its last 6 outings, Scotland has 1 wins, 0 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 0.33 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.33. Both teams have scored in 0% of recent games.

Morocco

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D W W W
3/4
W
1/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 2.50
Goals conceded/match 1.50
Both teams to score 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-13 Brazil 1-1 Morocco
  • 2026-06-19 Scotland 0-1 Morocco
  • 2026-06-24 Morocco 4-2 Haiti
  • 2026-06-30 Netherlands 3-4 Morocco

⚽ Top scorer : Ismael Saibari (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Morocco has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.50 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.50. Both teams have scored in 75% of recent games.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-06-19 Scotland 0-1 MoroccoFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Statistically, Scotland (1 place, 3 pts) hosts Morocco (2 place, 1 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Scotland and – for Morocco) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 0.97 for Scotland versus 1.53 for Morocco, our Poisson model projects a final score around 0-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 22.1% / 31.0% / 46.8% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Scotland sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 3 pts.
  • Morocco is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 1 pts).
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Morocco's recent matches.
  • Morocco relies on Ismael Saibari (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

In short, Morocco stands as our algorithm's favourite at 46.8%. The modelled scoreline sits around 0-1, and the Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (49%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Scotland vs Morocco played? +

The Scotland - Morocco match is scheduled for vendredi juin 19, 2026 at 22:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Scotland and Morocco? +

Our AI Predictor picks Morocco as the favorite with a 46.8% win probability. Full odds: 22.1% for Scotland, 31.0% draw, 46.8% for Morocco.

What is the most likely score for Scotland vs Morocco? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.97 for Scotland and 1.53 for Morocco.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Scotland - Morocco fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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