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La Liga · Matchday 10

Prediction: Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD

Sunday, 25 October 2026 17:30 UK time

Our AI makes Real Sociedad de Fútbol the favourite for Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD, with a 45.8% win probability. Kick-off: Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol hosts Levante UD this Sunday at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga. According to our AI, Real Sociedad de Fútbol approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol (rank 6, 13 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Levante UD (rank 17, 6 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Luka Sučić (3)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Brugui (3)
  • 📊 League gap: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (6th) vs Levante UD (17th)
  • 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of Real Sociedad de Fútbol's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 10, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Real Sociedad wins
45.8%
Draw
25.7%
Levante wins
28.5%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
71%
Expected goals (xG)
2.09 - 1.64

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League standings

Real Sociedad de Fútbol
6 (13 pts)
Levante UD
17 (6 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W D W L W
3/6
W
1/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.50
Goals conceded/match 2.00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 83%
  • 2026-08-26 Real Madrid CF 4-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
  • 2026-08-29 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 2026-09-03 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-0 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-09-07 Elche CF 2-3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
  • 2026-09-13 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-3 Club Atlético de Madrid
  • 2026-09-20 Valencia CF 2-3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol

⚽ Top scorer : Luka Sučić (3)

Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrives with a 3W/1D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.00. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 67%.

Levante UD

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L D W D L L
1/6
W
2/6
D
3/6
L
Goals scored/match 1.33
Goals conceded/match 2.00
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-08-16 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 3-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-08-24 CA Osasuna 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-08-29 Levante UD 5-2 Real Betis Balompié
  • 2026-09-06 Málaga CF 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-09-13 Levante UD 2-4 FC Barcelona
  • 2026-09-20 Villarreal CF 3-1 Levante UD

⚽ Top scorer : Brugui (3)

Levante UD arrives with a 1W/2D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.00. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-04-04 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-0 Levante UDPrimera Division
2025-12-20 Levante UD 1-1 Real Sociedad de FútbolPrimera Division
2022-05-06 Levante UD 2-1 Real Sociedad de FútbolPrimera Division
2021-08-28 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-0 Levante UDPrimera Division
2021-03-07 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-0 Levante UDPrimera Division

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Real Sociedad de Fútbol (form: –) meets Levante UD (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 72% and a BTTS of 71% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 45.8% / 25.7% / 28.5%.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Real Sociedad de Fútbol's recent matches.
  • ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Levante UD's recent matches.
  • ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Real Sociedad de Fútbol's recent matches.
  • ▸ Real Sociedad de Fútbol relies on Luka Sučić (3) as the La Liga top scorer.
  • ▸ Levante UD relies on Brugui (3) as the La Liga top scorer.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Real Sociedad de Fútbol has a 45.8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (72%) and BTTS (71%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD played? +

The Real Sociedad de Fútbol - Levante UD match is scheduled for Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Levante UD? +

Our AI Predictor picks Real Sociedad de Fútbol as the favorite with a 45.8% win probability. Full odds: 45.8% for Real Sociedad, 25.7% draw, 28.5% for Levante.

What is the most likely score for Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.09 for Real Sociedad de Fútbol and 1.64 for Levante UD.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 72% for this Real Sociedad de Fútbol - Levante UD fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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