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La Liga · Matchday 7

Recap: RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Betis Balompié

Sunday, 20 September 2026 17:30 UK time Match finished

Final score

1 – 1

Match over: RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real Betis Balompié. Our initial AI prediction had RC Deportivo La Coruña favored at 39.7%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming La Liga matches.

Uncertain match expected on Sunday, 20 September 2026 between RC Deportivo La Coruña and Real Betis Balompié. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (39.7% / 31.4% / 28.9%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.

RC Deportivo La Coruña (rank 7, 9 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Real Betis Balompié (rank 3, 15 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for RC Deportivo La Coruña: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (2)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Real Betis Balompié: Rodrigo Riquelme (1)
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of RC Deportivo La Coruña's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 7, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Deportivo wins
39.7%
Draw
31.4%
Real Betis wins
28.9%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
53%
Expected goals (xG)
1.44 - 1.19

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Deportivo (39.7%, Odds 2.65)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

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League standings

RC Deportivo La Coruña
7 (9 pts)
Real Betis Balompié
3 (15 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

RC Deportivo La Coruña

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D
0/2
W
2/2
D
0/2
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
  • 2026-08-17 RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 Elche CF
  • 2026-08-24 Málaga CF 1-1 RC Deportivo La Coruña

⚽ Top scorer : Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (2)

RC Deportivo La Coruña arrives with a 0W/2D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 0%, BTTS at 100%.

Real Betis Balompié

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W
2/2
W
0/2
D
0/2
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 0.00
Both teams to score 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
  • 2026-08-21 Real Betis Balompié 1-0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
  • 2026-08-25 Valencia CF 0-1 Real Betis Balompié

⚽ Top scorer : Rodrigo Riquelme (1)

Real Betis Balompié arrives with a 2W/0D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.00. Over 2.5 goals at 0%, BTTS at 0%.

Our analysis

Statistically, RC Deportivo La Coruña (7 place, 9 pts) hosts Real Betis Balompié (3 place, 15 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for RC Deportivo La Coruña and – for Real Betis Balompié) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.

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With an xG of 1.44 for RC Deportivo La Coruña versus 1.19 for Real Betis Balompié, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 39.7% / 31.4% / 28.9%.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • ▸ Real Betis Balompié is in the top 3 of La Liga (3, 15 pts).
  • ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of RC Deportivo La Coruña's recent matches.
  • ▸ RC Deportivo La Coruña relies on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (2) as the La Liga top scorer.
  • ▸ Real Betis Balompié relies on Rodrigo Riquelme (1) as the La Liga top scorer.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a RC Deportivo La Coruña win (39.7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 49% Over 2.5 reading and the 53% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Betis Balompié played? +

The RC Deportivo La Coruña - Real Betis Balompié match is scheduled for Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UK time in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between RC Deportivo La Coruña and Real Betis Balompié? +

Our AI Predictor picks RC Deportivo La Coruña as the favorite with a 39.7% win probability. Full odds: 39.7% for Deportivo, 31.4% draw, 28.9% for Real Betis.

What is the most likely score for RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Betis Balompié? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.44 for RC Deportivo La Coruña and 1.19 for Real Betis Balompié.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this RC Deportivo La Coruña - Real Betis Balompié fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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