La Liga · Matchday 9
Prediction: RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD
Friday October 16, 2026 19:00
Our AI Predictor examined the La Liga clash RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD. Verdict: RC Deportivo La Coruña carries a 49.7% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.
For RC Deportivo La Coruña (7), hosting Levante UD (15) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With RC Deportivo La Coruña a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for RC Deportivo La Coruña: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Brugui (3)
- 📊 League gap: RC Deportivo La Coruña (7th) vs Levante UD (15th)
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 83% of RC Deportivo La Coruña's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 9, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
RC Deportivo La Coruña
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-17
- 2026-08-24
- 2026-08-30
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-16
⚽ Top scorer : Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5)
Across its last 6 outings, RC Deportivo La Coruña has 2 wins, 3 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.50 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.17. Both teams have scored in 83% of recent games.
Levante UD
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-16
- 2026-08-24
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-13
⚽ Top scorer : Brugui (3)
Across its last 6 outings, Levante UD has 1 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.40 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.80. Both teams have scored in 40% of recent games.
Our analysis
The table gap between RC Deportivo La Coruña (7 place) and Levante UD (15 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in RC Deportivo La Coruña. Expected goals are 1.90 for Deportivo and 1.22 for Levante, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 49.7% / 27.4% / 22.9%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of RC Deportivo La Coruña's recent matches.
- ▸ RC Deportivo La Coruña relies on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Levante UD relies on Brugui (3) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, RC Deportivo La Coruña stands as our algorithm's favourite at 49.7%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (60%) and BTTS (60%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD played? +
The RC Deportivo La Coruña - Levante UD match is scheduled for vendredi octobre 16, 2026 at 19:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between RC Deportivo La Coruña and Levante UD? +
Our AI Predictor picks RC Deportivo La Coruña as the favorite with a 49.7% win probability. Full odds: 49.7% for Deportivo, 27.4% draw, 22.9% for Levante.
What is the most likely score for RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.90 for RC Deportivo La Coruña and 1.22 for Levante UD.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 60% for this RC Deportivo La Coruña - Levante UD fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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