Serie A · Matchday 9
Prediction: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Udinese Calcio
Wednesday October 28, 2026 17:30
Balanced fixture for Parma Calcio 1913 - Udinese Calcio on mercredi octobre 28, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 41.7% home, 28.5% draw, 29.8% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Parma Calcio 1913 (15 in the Serie A, 4 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Udinese Calcio (13, 4 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Parma Calcio 1913 (15th) and Udinese Calcio (13th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 9, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Parma Calcio 1913
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-14
- 2026-09-20
Recent record for Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 0.80 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.40 conceded. BTTS observed at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%.
Udinese Calcio
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-07
- 2026-09-14
- 2026-09-19
Recent record for Udinese Calcio: 1W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1.60 goal(s) scored on average vs 2.20 conceded. BTTS observed at 80%, Over 2.5 at 60%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Udinese Calcio 0-1 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2025-11-29 | Parma Calcio 1913 0-2 Udinese Calcio | Serie A |
| 2025-03-01 | Udinese Calcio 1-0 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2024-09-16 | Parma Calcio 1913 2-3 Udinese Calcio | Serie A |
| 2021-02-21 | Parma Calcio 1913 2-2 Udinese Calcio | Serie A |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (4 pts vs 4 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.73 vs 1.43). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 41.7% probability of a Parma Calcio 1913 win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Concretely, the Poisson model estimates goal distribution from adjusted xG averages, ELO recalibrates per recent performance, and Dixon-Coles corrects low scorelines (0-0, 1-0, 1-1). Triangulation produces the final forecast: 41.7% / 28.5% / 29.8%.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Parma Calcio 1913 (41.7% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 61%, BTTS at 62%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Parma Calcio 1913 vs Udinese Calcio played? +
The Parma Calcio 1913 - Udinese Calcio match is scheduled for mercredi octobre 28, 2026 at 17:30 in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Parma Calcio 1913 and Udinese Calcio? +
Our AI Predictor picks Parma Calcio 1913 as the favorite with a 41.7% win probability. Full odds: 41.7% for Parma, 28.5% draw, 29.8% for Udinese.
What is the most likely score for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Udinese Calcio? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1.43 for Udinese Calcio.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this Parma Calcio 1913 - Udinese Calcio fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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