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Serie A · Matchday 7

Prediction: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC

Monday October 19, 2026 18:45

Balanced fixture for Parma Calcio 1913 - Torino FC on lundi octobre 19, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 39.2% home, 32.1% draw, 28.7% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

Parma Calcio 1913 (15 in the Serie A, 4 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Torino FC (14, 4 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Torino FC: Che Adams (2)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Parma Calcio 1913 (15th) and Torino FC (14th) within 0 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 7, Serie A

AI Predictor Forecast

Parma wins
39.2%
Draw
32.1%
Torino wins
28.7%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
51%
Expected goals (xG)
1.38 - 1.14

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League standings

Parma Calcio 1913
15 (4 pts)
Torino FC
14 (4 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Parma Calcio 1913

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L L D L W
1/5
W
1/5
D
3/5
L
Goals scored/match 0.80
Goals conceded/match 1.40
Both teams to score 60%
Over 2.5 goals 40%
  • 2026-08-22 Parma Calcio 1913 0-1 Cagliari Calcio
  • 2026-08-29 Juventus FC 2-0 Parma Calcio 1913
  • 2026-09-06 Parma Calcio 1913 1-1 AC Monza
  • 2026-09-14 Como 1907 2-1 Parma Calcio 1913
  • 2026-09-20 Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 Genoa CFC

Recent record for Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 0.80 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.40 conceded. BTTS observed at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%.

Torino FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L L W L D
1/5
W
1/5
D
3/5
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 1.60
Both teams to score 80%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
  • 2026-08-23 Torino FC 1-2 AC Milan
  • 2026-08-29 US Sassuolo Calcio 2-1 Torino FC
  • 2026-09-05 ACF Fiorentina 1-2 Torino FC
  • 2026-09-14 Torino FC 0-2 AS Roma
  • 2026-09-19 Bologna FC 1909 1-1 Torino FC

⚽ Top scorer : Che Adams (2)

Recent record for Torino FC: 1W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.60 conceded. BTTS observed at 80%, Over 2.5 at 60%.

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (4 pts vs 4 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.38 vs 1.14). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited

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to asymmetric matches, returns a 39.2% probability of a Parma Calcio 1913 win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 39.2% / 32.1% / 28.7%.

Our verdict

In short, Parma Calcio 1913 stands as our algorithm's favourite at 39.2%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (51%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC played? +

The Parma Calcio 1913 - Torino FC match is scheduled for lundi octobre 19, 2026 at 18:45 in the Serie A.

Who is the favorite between Parma Calcio 1913 and Torino FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Parma Calcio 1913 as the favorite with a 39.2% win probability. Full odds: 39.2% for Parma, 32.1% draw, 28.7% for Torino.

What is the most likely score for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.38 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1.14 for Torino FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Parma Calcio 1913 - Torino FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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