Serie A · Matchday 5
Recap: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC
Sunday, 20 September 2026 14:00 UK time Match finished
Final score
2 – 1
Final score Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 Genoa CFC. The AI Predictor had projected 1-0, with Over 2.5 at 43% and BTTS at 47%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.
On Sunday, 20 September 2026, Parma Calcio 1913 and Genoa CFC face off in the Serie A. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles models: our forecast gives Parma Calcio 1913 a slight edge.
Parma Calcio 1913 (rank 18, 1 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Genoa CFC (rank 19, 1 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Serie A fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Parma Calcio 1913 (18th) and Genoa CFC (19th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 5, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Parma (44.7%, Odds 2.35)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 23.50 $ | +13.50 $ |
| 50 $ | 117.50 $ | +67.50 $ |
| 100 $ | 235.00 $ | +135.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Parma Calcio 1913
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
Parma Calcio 1913 arrives with a 0W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 0%, BTTS at 0%.
Genoa CFC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
Genoa CFC arrives with a 0W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.00. Over 2.5 goals at 0%, BTTS at 0%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Parma Calcio 1913 0-0 Genoa CFC | Serie A |
| 2025-10-19 | Genoa CFC 0-0 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2025-01-12 | Genoa CFC 1-0 Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A |
| 2024-11-04 | Parma Calcio 1913 0-1 Genoa CFC | Serie A |
Our analysis
Statistically, Parma Calcio 1913 (18 place, 1 pts) hosts Genoa CFC (19 place, 1 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Parma Calcio 1913 and – for Genoa CFC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.44 for Parma Calcio 1913 versus 0.95 for Genoa CFC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-0.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 44.7% / 32.2% / 23.1%.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Parma Calcio 1913 has a 44.7% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0. The Over 2.5 (43%) and BTTS (47%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC played? +
The Parma Calcio 1913 - Genoa CFC match is scheduled for Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 UK time in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Parma Calcio 1913 and Genoa CFC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Parma Calcio 1913 as the favorite with a 44.7% win probability. Full odds: 44.7% for Parma, 32.2% draw, 23.1% for Genoa.
What is the most likely score for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.44 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 0.95 for Genoa CFC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 43% for this Parma Calcio 1913 - Genoa CFC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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