FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2
Recap: Panama vs Croatia
Tuesday June 23, 2026 23:00 Match finished
Final score
0 – 1
Match over: Panama 0-1 Croatia. Our initial AI prediction had Croatia favored at 58.3%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.
AI prognosis is unfavorable for Panama on mardi juin 23, 2026: 14.0% chance of beating Croatia (58.3%). Standings, recent form, and head-to-head all contribute to this statistical verdict.
Panama (3 in the FIFA World Cup, 0 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Croatia (4, 0 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Panama (3th) and Croatia (4th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Croatia (58.3%, Odds 1.80)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 18.00 $ | +8.00 $ |
| 50 $ | 90.00 $ | +40.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 180.00 $ | +80.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Panama
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
Recent record for Panama: 0W-0D-3L over the last 6 matches. 0.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.33 conceded. BTTS observed at 0%, Over 2.5 at 0%.
Croatia
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-02
Recent record for Croatia: 2W-0D-2L over the last 6 matches. 1.50 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.75 conceded. BTTS observed at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Panama 0-1 Croatia | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Panama (form: –) meets Croatia (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 45% and a BTTS
of 43% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 14.0% / 27.7% / 58.3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Panama is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 0 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 75% of Croatia's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 75% of Croatia's recent matches.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Croatia win (58.3%) with a typical scoreline of 0-1. Worth noting the 45% Over 2.5 reading and the 43% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Panama vs Croatia played? +
The Panama - Croatia match is scheduled for mardi juin 23, 2026 at 23:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Panama and Croatia? +
Our AI Predictor picks Croatia as the favorite with a 58.3% win probability. Full odds: 14.0% for Panama, 27.7% draw, 58.3% for Croatia.
What is the most likely score for Panama vs Croatia? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.73 for Panama and 1.77 for Croatia.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Panama - Croatia fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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